Ligue 3
ConcarneauHomeWDWDL
Sat 7 Nov
Fleury 91AwayDLWWD442828
Concarneau winDrawFleury 91 win
ConcarneauHomeWDWDLFleury 91AwayDLWWD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.62 1.47 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 44% Concarneau
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Concarneau vs Fleury 91 betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.12 | 3.18 | 3.13 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.12 | 3.18 | 3.13 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.12 | 3.18 | 3.13 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.71 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Concarneau to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Concarneau vs Fleury 91 are 2.12 for Concarneau at 22Bet, 3.18 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.13 for Fleury 91 at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.79 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (22Bet) and no 2.00 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Concarneau or Fleury 91 (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Concarneau, full-time Concarneau
27% chance3.75fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Concarneau vs Fleury 91 prediction
Concarneau vs Fleury 91 prediction, who wins and at what price
Concarneau vs Fleury 91 prediction for the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Concarneau marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Fleury 91 at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.47 for Concarneau and 1.15 for Fleury 91, a total of 2.62, which puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is concarneau or Fleury 91 (no draw) at 72%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 7 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Concarneau vs Fleury 91.
Over the last 5 matches Concarneau stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Fleury 91 show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Concarneau vs Fleury 91 goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Concarneau vs Fleury 91 reads 74% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.79.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Concarneau scoring in 77% of runs and Fleury 91 in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Concarneau and 23% for Fleury 91.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Concarneau vs Fleury 91: 1-1 (12.3%), 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Concarneau, full-time Concarneau leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Concarneau vs Fleury 91
The grid built from 1.47 and 1.15 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Concarneau to win44%2.12
Draw28%3.18
Fleury 91 to win29%3.13
Concarneau, draw no bet61%fair 1.65
Fleury 91, draw no bet39%fair 2.54
Double chance
Concarneau or draw72%1.27
Fleury 91 or draw56%1.58
Concarneau or Fleury 91 (no draw)72%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.88
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals52%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.71
Not both teams to score46%2.00
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Concarneau to score77%fair 1.30
Fleury 91 to score68%fair 1.46
Concarneau clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Fleury 91 clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Concarneau to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Fleury 91 to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-010.7%
2-19%
0-18.4%
2-07.9%
0-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
Concarneau / Concarneau26.7%
Fleury 91 / Fleury 9116.8%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Concarneau15.4%
Draw / Fleury 9111%
Questions about Concarneau vs Fleury 91
Who will win Concarneau vs Fleury 91?
The model gives Concarneau the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Concarneau vs Fleury 91?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Concarneau vs Fleury 91?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Concarneau find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Fleury 91 in 68%.
When is Concarneau vs Fleury 91 and where is the result shown?
Concarneau vs Fleury 91 starts at 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.