Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction

Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction and best bet

The Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos prediction leans to Amiens: 58% against 19% for Thionville Lusitanos, with 23% left for the draw, in the Ligue 3 on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.82 for Amiens and 0.93 for Thionville Lusitanos, a total of 2.75, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos is amiens to win, a 58% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.66. That price implies 60%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos.

For a safer line, amiens or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.14.

Over the last 5 matches Amiens stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Thionville Lusitanos show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos

On the goal lines Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.81 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 51%: Amiens find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Thionville Lusitanos in 61%. Amiens keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Thionville Lusitanos 16%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.6%, then 1-1 at 10.8% and 2-0 at 10.6%.

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Amiens, full-time Amiens leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.