Ligue 3
RouenHomeWLWLW
2:1Half-time 2:1
ConcarneauAwayWDWDL482824
Rouen winDrawConcarneau win
RouenHomeWLWLWConcarneauAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.45 1.47 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 48% Rouen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Rouen vs Concarneau betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.24 | 3.65 | 2.06 | 1.65 | 1.87 | 1.82 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.86 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.99 | 3.15 | 3.75 | 2.14 | 1.64 | 1.91 | 1.75 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.86 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.01 | 3.19 | 3.86 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Rouen to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Rouen vs Concarneau prediction: Rouen 2.01 (Melbet), draw 3.24 (1xBet), Concarneau 3.86 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.65 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (22Bet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Rouen or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rouen, full-time Rouen
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Rouen vs Concarneau prediction
Our Rouen vs Concarneau prediction and pick
The Rouen vs Concarneau prediction leans to Rouen: 48% against 24% for Concarneau, with 28% left for the draw, in the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.45 in total, split 1.47 to Rouen and 0.98 to Concarneau. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Rouen vs Concarneau is rouen or draw, a 76% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.23. That price implies 81%, 6 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Rouen vs Concarneau.
Rouen average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Concarneau 1.4 and 1.0 across 5.
A low-scoring Rouen vs Concarneau? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.65.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Rouen score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Concarneau; Concarneau score in 63% while Rouen shut them out 38% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Rouen vs Concarneau: 1-0 (12.7%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 2-0 (9.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rouen, full-time Rouen leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Rouen vs Concarneau
The grid built from 1.47 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Rouen to win48%2.01
Draw28%3.24
Concarneau to win24%3.86
Rouen, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Concarneau, draw no bet34%fair 2.98
Double chance
Rouen or draw76%1.23
Concarneau or draw52%1.75
Rouen or Concarneau (no draw)72%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.22
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%1.65
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score49%2.11
Not both teams to score51%1.82
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Rouen to score77%fair 1.30
Concarneau to score63%fair 1.60
Rouen clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Concarneau clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Rouen to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Concarneau to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.7%
1-112.4%
2-09.3%
2-19.1%
0-08.6%
0-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Rouen / Rouen29.2%
Draw / Rouen17%
Draw / Draw16.8%
Concarneau / Concarneau14%
Draw / Concarneau9.8%
Questions about Rouen vs Concarneau
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
The model gives Rouen the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Rouen vs Concarneau correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Rouen vs Concarneau?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Rouen find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Concarneau in 63%.
What time does Rouen vs Concarneau kick off?
Kick-off is 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.