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Live 16 UTC
Ligue 3 Round 11 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Le Puy FootHomeWLWWD
2:2Half-time 2:1
CaenAwayLWLWD
402832
Le Puy Foot winDrawCaen win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.89
1.53 : 1.36
Favourite
40%
Le Puy Foot
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Le Puy Foot vs Caen odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.193.422.801.652.061.552.27Bet
22Bet2.453.442.701.692.101.682.11Bet
BC.Game2.343.402.741.672.101.572.20Bet
Betwinner2.453.442.701.692.101.682.11Bet
Melbet2.453.442.701.692.101.682.11Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Le Puy Foot to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Le Puy Foot vs Caen prediction: Le Puy Foot 2.45 (22Bet), draw 3.44 (22Bet), Caen 2.80 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 94.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.10 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (22Bet) and no 2.27 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Le Puy Foot or Caen (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.53 : 1.36-7.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Le Puy Foot, full-time Le Puy Foot
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

Le Puy Foot vs Caen prediction

Our Le Puy Foot vs Caen prediction and pick

The Le Puy Foot vs Caen prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ligue 3 on Saturday, 31 October 2026 gives Le Puy Foot a 40% chance, Caen 32% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.89 in total, split 1.53 to Le Puy Foot and 1.36 to Caen. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Le Puy Foot or Caen (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.28 with Betwinner the market prices it at 78%, against 73% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Le Puy Foot stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Caen show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 22Bet pay 1.69.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Le Puy Foot scoring in 78% of runs and Caen in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Le Puy Foot and 22% for Caen.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Le Puy Foot vs Caen: 1-1 (11.6%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Le Puy Foot, full-time Le Puy Foot is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

All markets, Le Puy Foot vs Caen

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Le Puy Foot vs Caen, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Le Puy Foot to win40%2.45
Draw28%3.44
Caen to win32%2.80
Le Puy Foot, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Caen, draw no bet45%fair 2.24

Double chance

Le Puy Foot or draw68%1.43
Caen or draw60%1.54
Le Puy Foot or Caen (no draw)73%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.69
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.10
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.68
Not both teams to score41%2.27

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Le Puy Foot to score78%fair 1.28
Caen to score74%fair 1.35
Le Puy Foot clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Caen clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Le Puy Foot to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Caen to win to nil20%fair 5.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-18.8%
1-08.5%
1-27.9%
0-17.6%
2-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Le Puy Foot / Le Puy Foot24.9%
Caen / Caen19.8%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Le Puy Foot14%
Draw / Caen11.8%

Questions about Le Puy Foot vs Caen

Le Puy Foot or Caen: which side does the model back?

The model gives Le Puy Foot the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Le Puy Foot find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Caen in 74%.

When do Le Puy Foot play Caen?

Le Puy Foot vs Caen starts at 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Le Puy Foot v CaenLe Puy Foot or Caen (no draw), 73%
1.28Bet