Ligue 3
BastiaHomeLDDW
2:0Half-time 0:0
QuevillyAwayDDLWL472825
Bastia winDrawQuevilly win
BastiaHomeLDDWQuevillyAwayDDLWL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.43 1.45 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 47% Bastia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Bastia vs Quevilly odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.28 | 3.71 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.13 | 3.47 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 1.94 | 1.75 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.06 | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.13 | 3.47 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 1.94 | 1.75 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.01 | 3.13 | 3.47 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 1.94 | 1.75 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bastia to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Bastia price at 2.06, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.28 and 1xBet have Quevilly longest at 3.71.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.20 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.94 (Melbet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Bastia or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bastia, full-time Bastia
29% chance3.47fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Bastia vs Quevilly prediction
Bastia vs Quevilly prediction, who wins and at what price
Bastia vs Quevilly prediction for the Ligue 3 on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Bastia marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 28% and Quevilly at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 2.43 in total, split 1.45 to Bastia and 0.98 to Quevilly. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is bastia or draw at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at BC.Game, which implies 80%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bastia vs Quevilly.
Form check: Bastia have won 1 of their last 4 with 4 scored and 3 conceded, Quevilly 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 8.
A low-scoring Bastia vs Quevilly? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Bastia vs Quevilly reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 48%, built from Bastia scoring in 77% of runs and Quevilly in 63%; clean sheets come at 38% for Bastia and 24% for Quevilly.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.8%, then 1-1 at 12.5% and 2-0 at 9.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bastia, full-time Bastia is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, Bastia vs Quevilly
The grid built from 1.45 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Bastia to win47%2.06
Draw28%3.28
Quevilly to win25%3.71
Bastia, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
Quevilly, draw no bet34%fair 2.91
Double chance
Bastia or draw75%1.25
Quevilly or draw53%1.74
Bastia or Quevilly (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.20
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals56%1.69
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.94
Not both teams to score52%1.85
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Bastia to score77%fair 1.31
Quevilly to score63%fair 1.60
Bastia clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Quevilly clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Bastia to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Quevilly to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.8%
1-112.5%
2-09.3%
2-19.1%
0-08.8%
0-18.6%
Half-time / full-time
Bastia / Bastia28.8%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Bastia16.9%
Quevilly / Quevilly14.2%
Draw / Quevilly10%
Questions about Bastia vs Quevilly
Bastia or Quevilly: which side does the model back?
The model gives Bastia the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Bastia vs Quevilly?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Bastia vs Quevilly?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Bastia find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Quevilly in 63%.
When is Bastia vs Quevilly and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.