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Ligue 3 Round 11 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
La Roche VFHomeWWWLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Bourg-en-bresse 01AwayDDLLL
592615
La Roche VF winDrawBourg-en-bresse 01 win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.70
1.83 : 0.87
Favourite
59%
La Roche VF
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Best odds for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.603.724.701.791.881.781.91Bet
22Bet1.584.225.011.891.912.021.74Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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La Roche VF to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 prediction: La Roche VF 1.60 (1xBet), draw 4.22 (22Bet), Bourg-en-bresse 01 5.01 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.91 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.91 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

59%

Our prediction

La Roche VF to win
StrongExpected goals 1.83 : 0.87-5.9% against the best price
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw
85% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance2.02
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time La Roche VF, full-time La Roche VF
38% chance2.62fair

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 prediction

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 prediction and best bet

La Roche VF host Bourg-en-bresse 01 on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Ligue 3, and the model has La Roche VF at 59%, the draw at 26% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 at 15%: that is the La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.83 for La Roche VF and 0.87 for Bourg-en-bresse 01, a total of 2.70, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is la Roche VF to win at 59%. At 1.60 with 1xBet the market prices it at 63%, against 59% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, la Roche VF or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.15.

Form check: La Roche VF have won 4 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 6 conceded, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 7.

How many goals in La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.89 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. La Roche VF score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Bourg-en-bresse 01; Bourg-en-bresse 01 score in 58% while La Roche VF shut them out 42% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: 1-0 (12.3%), 2-0 (11.3%) and 1-1 (10.7%).

With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time La Roche VF, full-time La Roche VF leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 59% / 26% / 15% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

La Roche VF to win59%1.60
Draw26%4.22
Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win15%5.01
La Roche VF, draw no bet80%fair 1.26
Bourg-en-bresse 01, draw no bet20%fair 4.90

Double chance

La Roche VF or draw85%1.15
Bourg-en-bresse 01 or draw41%2.29
La Roche VF or Bourg-en-bresse 01 (no draw)74%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.89
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Under 2.5 goals49%1.91
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40

BTTS

Both teams to score50%2.02
Not both teams to score50%1.91

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.92
Second-half goal77%fair 1.29

Team goals

La Roche VF to score84%fair 1.19
Bourg-en-bresse 01 to score58%fair 1.72
La Roche VF clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Bourg-en-bresse 01 clean sheet16%fair 6.25
La Roche VF to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win to nil14%fair 7.19

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.3%
2-011.3%
1-110.7%
2-19.8%
3-06.9%
0-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

La Roche VF / La Roche VF38.1%
Draw / La Roche VF19.1%
Draw / Draw14%
Bourg-en-bresse 01 / Bourg-en-bresse 019.5%
Draw / Bourg-en-bresse 016.9%

Questions about La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01

Who is favourite in La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

The model gives La Roche VF the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. La Roche VF find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Bourg-en-bresse 01 in 58%.

When is La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 and where is the result shown?

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 starts at 13:45 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, La Roche VF v Bourg-en-bresse 01La Roche VF to win, 59%
1.60Bet