Ligue 2
DunkerqueHomeLLWDL
1:1Half-time 0:1
MetzAwayDLWDL342640
Dunkerque winDrawMetz win
DunkerqueHomeLLWDLMetzAwayDLWDL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.01 1.44 : 1.57
- Favourite
- 40% Metz
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Dunkerque vs Metz odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.81 | 3.60 | 2.29 | 1.60 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Metz to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Dunkerque vs Metz are 2.81 for Dunkerque at 1xBet, 3.60 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.29 for Metz at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Dunkerque or Metz (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Metz, full-time Metz
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Dunkerque vs Metz prediction
Our Dunkerque vs Metz prediction and pick
The Dunkerque vs Metz prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ligue 2 on Friday, 23 October 2026 gives Dunkerque a 34% chance, Metz 40% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.44 for Dunkerque and 1.57 for Metz, a total of 3.01, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 63%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is dunkerque or Metz (no draw) at 74%. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Dunkerque stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Metz show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Dunkerque vs Metz
On the goal lines Dunkerque vs Metz reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.60 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 63%: Dunkerque find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Metz in 79%. Dunkerque keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Metz 24%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.1%, then 1-2 at 8.7% and 2-1 at 8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Metz, full-time Metz is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Dunkerque vs Metz
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Dunkerque vs Metz, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Dunkerque to win34%2.81
Draw26%3.60
Metz to win40%2.29
Dunkerque, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
Metz, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Double chance
Dunkerque or draw60%1.58
Metz or draw66%1.40
Dunkerque or Metz (no draw)74%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.60
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals43%2.25
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.42
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Dunkerque to score76%fair 1.31
Metz to score79%fair 1.26
Dunkerque clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Metz clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Dunkerque to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Metz to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
1-28.7%
2-18%
0-17.7%
1-07.1%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Metz / Metz24.5%
Dunkerque / Dunkerque20.7%
Draw / Metz13.6%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Dunkerque12%
Questions about Dunkerque vs Metz
Who is favourite in Dunkerque vs Metz?
The model gives Metz the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Dunkerque vs Metz correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Dunkerque vs Metz?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Dunkerque find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Metz in 79%.
What time does Dunkerque vs Metz kick off?
Dunkerque vs Metz starts at 18:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.