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Live 30 UTC
Ligue 2 Round 11 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
RodezHomeLLLWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
DunkerqueAwayLLWDL
472528
Rodez winDrawDunkerque win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.17
1.80 : 1.37
Favourite
47%
Rodez
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Rodez vs Dunkerque

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.963.803.381.512.261.502.42Bet
22Bet2.003.573.461.602.251.542.38Bet
BC.Game1.963.603.451.592.241.532.34Bet
Betwinner2.003.573.461.602.251.542.38Bet
Melbet2.003.573.461.602.251.542.38Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Rodez to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Rodez vs Dunkerque are 2.00 for Rodez at Melbet, 3.80 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.46 for Dunkerque at Melbet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.60 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.26 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (Melbet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Rodez or Dunkerque (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.80 : 1.37-4.8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.60
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rodez, full-time Rodez
30% chance3.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair

Rodez vs Dunkerque prediction

Our Rodez vs Dunkerque prediction and pick

Rodez are marginally ahead in the Rodez vs Dunkerque prediction, rated 47% to win this Ligue 2 match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Dunkerque sit at 28% and the draw at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 3.17 in total, split 1.80 to Rodez and 1.37 to Dunkerque. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 64%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Rodez vs Dunkerque is rodez or Dunkerque (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.27 with Melbet the market prices it at 79%, against 75% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Rodez average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Dunkerque 0.8 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for Rodez vs Dunkerque with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Rodez vs Dunkerque reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; Melbet pay 1.60.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. Rodez score in 84% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Dunkerque; Dunkerque score in 75% while Rodez shut them out 25% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 9.3% and 1-0 at 7.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Rodez, full-time Rodez is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market rated for Rodez vs Dunkerque

The grid built from 1.80 and 1.37 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Rodez to win47%2.00
Draw25%3.80
Dunkerque to win28%3.46
Rodez, draw no bet62%fair 1.60
Dunkerque, draw no bet38%fair 2.66

Double chance

Rodez or draw72%1.29
Dunkerque or draw53%1.79
Rodez or Dunkerque (no draw)75%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.60
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.56
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.67
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 2.5 goals39%2.26
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.54
Not both teams to score36%2.42

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Rodez to score84%fair 1.20
Dunkerque to score75%fair 1.34
Rodez clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Dunkerque clean sheet17%fair 6.06
Rodez to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Dunkerque to win to nil15%fair 6.58

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.3%
1-07.6%
1-27.1%
2-06.8%
2-26.4%

Half-time / full-time

Rodez / Rodez29.5%
Dunkerque / Dunkerque17%
Draw / Rodez15%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / Dunkerque10.1%

Questions about Rodez vs Dunkerque

Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?

The model gives Rodez the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Rodez vs Dunkerque?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Rodez vs Dunkerque both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Rodez find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Dunkerque in 75%.

When do Rodez play Dunkerque?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Rodez v DunkerqueRodez or Dunkerque (no draw), 75%
1.27Bet