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Live 11 UTC
Ligue 1 Round 9 Monday, 2 November 2026 Kick-off
LorientHomeLWWD
Mon 2 Nov
Stade Brestois 29AwayLWDL
402931
Lorient winDrawStade Brestois 29 win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
2.47
1.34 : 1.13
Favourite
40%
Lorient
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.493.313.212.201.781.821.90Bet
22Bet2.403.193.102.121.721.821.90Bet
BC.Game2.403.153.052.141.681.901.85Bet
Betwinner2.493.313.212.201.791.821.90Bet
Melbet2.493.313.212.201.791.821.90Bet
Stake2.343.253.102.111.681.851.85Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Lorient to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction: Lorient 2.49 (1xBet), draw 3.31 (1xBet), Stade Brestois 29 3.21 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.20 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.90 (BC.Game) and no 1.90 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

71%

Our prediction

Lorient or Stade Brestois 29 (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.34 : 1.13-1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.90
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lorient, full-time Lorient
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 odds movement

Lorient win2.49-0.07
Draw3.31-0.08
Stade Brestois 29 win3.21+0.11
Over 2.5 goals2.20+0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.79-0.05

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction, who wins and at what price

Lorient host Stade Brestois 29 on Monday, 2 November 2026 in the Ligue 1, and the model has Lorient at 40%, the draw at 29% and Stade Brestois 29 at 30%: that is the Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction in one line.

Lorient are expected to score 1.34 and Stade Brestois 29 1.13, so the total line is 2.47 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Lorient or Stade Brestois 29 (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.40 at Melbet, which implies 71%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Form check: Lorient have won 2 of their last 4 with 3 scored and 2 conceded, Stade Brestois 29 1 of 4 scoring 8 and conceding 6.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29

On the goal lines Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; Melbet pay 1.79.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. Lorient score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Stade Brestois 29; Stade Brestois 29 score in 68% while Lorient shut them out 32% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 1-0 at 11.3% and 0-1 at 9.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lorient, full-time Lorient leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29

The grid built from 1.34 and 1.13 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Lorient to win40%2.49
Draw29%3.31
Stade Brestois 29 to win30%3.21
Lorient, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Stade Brestois 29, draw no bet43%fair 2.33

Double chance

Lorient or draw70%1.42
Stade Brestois 29 or draw60%1.63
Lorient or Stade Brestois 29 (no draw)71%1.40

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals56%1.79
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.90
Not both teams to score49%1.90

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Lorient to score74%fair 1.36
Stade Brestois 29 to score68%fair 1.48
Lorient clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Stade Brestois 29 clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Lorient to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Stade Brestois 29 to win to nil24%fair 4.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-011.3%
0-19.6%
2-18.6%
0-08.5%
2-07.6%

Half-time / full-time

Lorient / Lorient24.5%
Stade Brestois 29 / Stade Brestois 2917.9%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Lorient14.9%
Draw / Stade Brestois 2911.8%

Questions about Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29

Lorient or Stade Brestois 29: which side does the model back?

The model gives Lorient the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Lorient find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Stade Brestois 29 in 68%.

What time does Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 kick off?

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 starts at 19:45 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Lorient v Stade Brestois 29Lorient or Stade Brestois 29 (no draw), 71%
1.40Bet