Premier League
Round 9 Monday, 2 November 2026
Kick-off
NewcastleHomeWLLWL
Mon 2 Nov
EvertonAwayWDLLW422731
Newcastle winDrawEverton win
Premier League
Round 9 Monday, 2 November 2026
Kick-off
NewcastleHomeWLLWLEvertonAwayWDLLW- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.90 1.57 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 42% Newcastle
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Newcastle vs Everton odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.74 | 3.05 | 1.77 | 2.22 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.20 | 3.58 | 3.14 | 1.71 | 2.14 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 1.68 | 2.14 | 1.55 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.38 | 3.74 | 3.05 | 1.77 | 2.22 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.28 | 3.72 | 3.25 | 1.77 | 2.22 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.13 | 3.55 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.58 | 2.24 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Newcastle to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Newcastle vs Everton prediction: Newcastle 2.38 (Betwinner), draw 3.74 (Betwinner), Everton 3.25 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 100.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (Stake) and no 2.34 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Newcastle or Everton (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newcastle, full-time Newcastle
26% chance3.85fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair
Newcastle v Everton head to head
0Newcastle wins
0Draws
1Everton wins
- 29 Oct 26Everton3:1Newcastle
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Newcastle scored 1, Everton scored 3.
Newcastle vs Everton odds movement
Newcastle win2.38-0.02
Draw3.74unchanged
Everton win3.25+0.15
Over 2.5 goals1.77unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.22unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Newcastle vs Everton prediction
Our Newcastle vs Everton prediction and pick
Newcastle vs Everton prediction for the Premier League on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model makes Newcastle marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Everton at 31%.
The goal expectancy is 2.90 in total, split 1.57 to Newcastle and 1.33 to Everton. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is newcastle or Everton (no draw) at 73%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 1 points over the model figure.
Form check: Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Everton 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
How many goals in Newcastle vs Everton? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.77 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Newcastle score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Everton; Everton score in 74% while Newcastle shut them out 26% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.5%, then 2-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 8.6%.
With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Newcastle vs Everton; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Newcastle, full-time Newcastle leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Newcastle vs Everton
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 27% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Newcastle to win42%2.38
Draw27%3.74
Everton to win31%3.25
Newcastle, draw no bet57%fair 1.74
Everton, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
Double chance
Newcastle or draw69%1.45
Everton or draw58%1.73
Newcastle or Everton (no draw)73%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.77
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.03
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.95
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Under 2.5 goals45%2.22
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.58
Not both teams to score40%2.34
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.67
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Newcastle to score79%fair 1.26
Everton to score74%fair 1.36
Newcastle clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Everton clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Newcastle to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Everton to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.5%
2-19%
1-08.6%
1-27.6%
0-17.3%
2-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Newcastle / Newcastle26%
Everton / Everton18.8%
Draw / Newcastle14.4%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Draw / Everton11.4%
Questions about Newcastle vs Everton
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
The model gives Newcastle the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Newcastle vs Everton?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Newcastle vs Everton?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Newcastle find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Everton in 74%.
When do Newcastle play Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton starts at 20:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.