League Two
ShrewsburyHomeWWDWL
1:2Half-time 0:1
GillinghamAwayWLDLW502723
Shrewsbury winDrawGillingham win
ShrewsburyHomeWWDWLGillinghamAwayWLDLW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.57 1.57 : 1.00
- Favourite
- 50% Shrewsbury
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 3.84 | 2.01 | 1.74 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 3.84 | 2.01 | 1.74 | 1.82 | 1.88 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.93 | 3.35 | 3.70 | 1.99 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.94 | 3.38 | 3.88 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.94 | 3.38 | 3.88 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.97 | 3.35 | 3.70 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.84 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Shrewsbury to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Shrewsbury price at 1.97, Melbet lead the draw at 3.38 and Melbet have Gillingham longest at 3.88.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.74 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.95 (Melbet) and no 1.88 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Shrewsbury or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.95
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shrewsbury, full-time Shrewsbury
31% chance3.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction and best bet
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham prediction for the League Two on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Shrewsbury a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 27% and Gillingham at 23%.
Expected goals are 1.57 for Shrewsbury and 1.00 for Gillingham, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Shrewsbury or draw is the main selection, rated 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at Stake, which implies 81%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shrewsbury vs Gillingham.
Shrewsbury average 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Gillingham 1.8 and 2.4 across 5.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Shrewsbury vs Gillingham reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; BC.Game pay 1.74.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Shrewsbury score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Gillingham; Gillingham score in 63% while Shrewsbury shut them out 37% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12%, followed by 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Shrewsbury, full-time Shrewsbury leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 27% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Shrewsbury to win50%1.97
Draw27%3.38
Gillingham to win23%3.88
Shrewsbury, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Gillingham, draw no bet32%fair 3.13
Double chance
Shrewsbury or draw77%1.24
Gillingham or draw51%1.81
Shrewsbury or Gillingham (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.74
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.95
Not both teams to score48%1.88
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Shrewsbury to score79%fair 1.26
Gillingham to score63%fair 1.58
Shrewsbury clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Gillingham clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Shrewsbury to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Gillingham to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012%
1-112%
2-09.4%
2-19.4%
0-07.7%
0-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Shrewsbury / Shrewsbury30.9%
Draw / Shrewsbury17.2%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Gillingham / Gillingham13.4%
Draw / Gillingham9.3%
Questions about Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
Who is favourite in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
The model gives Shrewsbury the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Shrewsbury find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Gillingham in 63%.
When is Shrewsbury vs Gillingham and where is the result shown?
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.