League Two
Accrington STHomeDWDWD
1:1Half-time 1:0
NorthamptonAwayDWLWD442927
Accrington ST winDrawNorthampton win
Accrington STHomeDWDWDNorthamptonAwayDWLWD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.36 1.36 : 1.00
- Favourite
- 44% Accrington ST
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Accrington ST vs Northampton odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.16 | 3.42 | 2.11 | 1.67 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.41 | 3.05 | 2.97 | 2.17 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.14 | 1.65 | 1.82 | 1.84 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.41 | 3.05 | 2.97 | 2.17 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.41 | 3.05 | 2.97 | 2.17 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.41 | 3.15 | 2.85 | 2.09 | 1.63 | 1.85 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Accrington ST to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Accrington ST vs Northampton are 2.41 for Accrington ST at 22Bet, 3.16 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.42 for Northampton at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.17 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.67 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Accrington ST or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Accrington ST, full-time Accrington ST
27% chance3.75fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair
Accrington ST vs Northampton prediction
Accrington ST vs Northampton prediction, who wins and at what price
Accrington ST are marginally ahead in the Accrington ST vs Northampton prediction, rated 44% to win this League Two match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Northampton sit at 26% and the draw at 29%.
The goal expectancy is 2.36 in total, split 1.36 to Accrington ST and 1.00 to Northampton. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 49%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Accrington ST vs Northampton is accrington ST or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.37 with Stake the market prices it at 73%, against 74% from the model.
Form check: Accrington ST have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 3 conceded, Northampton 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 3.
A low-scoring Accrington ST vs Northampton? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Accrington ST vs Northampton reads 68% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.67.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Accrington ST score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Northampton; Northampton score in 63% while Accrington ST shut them out 37% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.8%, then 1-1 at 12.8% and 0-0 at 9.4%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Accrington ST, full-time Accrington ST is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
Every market rated for Accrington ST vs Northampton
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 29% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Accrington ST to win44%2.41
Draw29%3.16
Northampton to win26%3.42
Accrington ST, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Northampton, draw no bet37%fair 2.68
Double chance
Accrington ST or draw74%1.37
Northampton or draw56%1.64
Accrington ST or Northampton (no draw)71%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals42%2.17
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.99
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Under 2.5 goals58%1.67
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.85
Not both teams to score51%1.85
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.48
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38
Team goals
Accrington ST to score74%fair 1.35
Northampton to score63%fair 1.58
Accrington ST clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Northampton clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Accrington ST to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Northampton to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.8%
1-112.8%
0-09.4%
0-19.4%
2-08.7%
2-18.7%
Half-time / full-time
Accrington ST / Accrington ST26.7%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Draw / Accrington ST16.2%
Northampton / Northampton15.4%
Draw / Northampton10.8%
Questions about Accrington ST vs Northampton
Who is favourite in Accrington ST vs Northampton?
The model gives Accrington ST the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Accrington ST vs Northampton correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Accrington ST vs Northampton both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Accrington ST find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Northampton in 63%.
When do Accrington ST play Northampton?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.