League Two
Newport CountyHomeWDDLW
4:1Half-time 4:0
ChesterfieldAwayDLDWL212554
Newport County winDrawChesterfield win
Newport CountyHomeWDDLWChesterfieldAwayDLDWL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.69 0.99 : 1.70
- Favourite
- 54% Chesterfield
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Newport County vs Chesterfield betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.69 | 3.74 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.34 | 3.51 | 1.81 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.77 | 1.84 | 1.87 | 1.75 | 1.92 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.34 | 3.51 | 1.81 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.34 | 3.51 | 1.81 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.10 | 3.55 | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Chesterfield to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Newport County vs Chesterfield are 4.69 for Newport County at 1xBet, 3.74 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.81 for Chesterfield at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.90 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (Melbet) and no 1.95 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
54%
Our prediction
Chesterfield to win
Double chanceChesterfield or draw
79% chance1.19
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.90
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chesterfield, full-time Chesterfield
34% chance2.98fair
Newport County vs Chesterfield odds movement
Newport County win4.69-0.32
Draw3.74-0.21
Chesterfield win1.81-0.18
Over 2.5 goals2.01unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.90-0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction
Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction, who wins and at what price
The Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction leans to Chesterfield: 54% against 21% for Newport County, with 25% left for the draw, in the League Two on Friday, 30 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.69 in total, split 0.99 to Newport County and 1.70 to Chesterfield. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Chesterfield to win is the main selection, rated 54%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.81. That price implies 55%, 2 points over the model figure.
Chesterfield or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.19.
Over the last 5 matches Newport County stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Chesterfield show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Newport County vs Chesterfield goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.90.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Newport County scoring in 63% of runs and Chesterfield in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Newport County and 37% for Chesterfield.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Newport County vs Chesterfield: 0-1 (11.5%), 1-1 (11.4%) and 0-2 (9.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Chesterfield, full-time Chesterfield is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Newport County vs Chesterfield
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 21% / 25% / 54% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Newport County to win21%4.69
Draw25%3.74
Chesterfield to win54%1.81
Newport County, draw no bet29%fair 3.51
Chesterfield, draw no bet72%fair 1.40
Double chance
Newport County or draw46%2.08
Chesterfield or draw79%1.19
Newport County or Chesterfield (no draw)75%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.90
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.80
Not both teams to score48%1.95
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Newport County to score63%fair 1.59
Chesterfield to score82%fair 1.22
Newport County clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Chesterfield clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Newport County to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Chesterfield to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-111.5%
1-111.4%
0-29.8%
1-29.7%
0-06.8%
1-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Chesterfield / Chesterfield33.6%
Draw / Chesterfield17.8%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Newport County / Newport County12.1%
Draw / Newport County8.4%
Questions about Newport County vs Chesterfield
Who is favourite in Newport County vs Chesterfield?
The model gives Chesterfield the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Newport County vs Chesterfield correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Newport County vs Chesterfield?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Newport County find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Chesterfield in 82%.
When do Newport County play Chesterfield?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.