York vs Northampton prediction

York vs Northampton prediction and best bet

York are a narrow favourite in the York vs Northampton prediction, rated 53% to win this FA Cup match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Northampton sit at 23% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.68 for York and 1.02 for Northampton, a total of 2.70, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

York to win is the main selection, rated 53%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.81. That price implies 55%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, york or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.21.

Form check: York have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 10 conceded, Northampton 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 3.

How many goals in York vs Northampton? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines York vs Northampton reads 75% for over 1.5, 50% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 22Bet pay 1.87.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. York score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Northampton; Northampton score in 64% while York shut them out 36% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for York vs Northampton: 1-1 (11.5%), 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time York, full-time York leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.