FA Cup
SholingHomeWDWWL
2:0Half-time 1:0
SE DonsAwayWWL542026
Sholing winDrawSE Dons win
SholingHomeWDWWLSE DonsAwayWWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.92 2.33 : 1.59
- Favourite
- 54% Sholing
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 73% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sholing vs SE Dons odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.76 | 4.15 | 3.38 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.32 | 3.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sholing to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sholing vs SE Dons prediction: Sholing 1.76 (1xBet), draw 4.15 (1xBet), SE Dons 3.38 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.28 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.32 (1xBet) and no 3.05 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
54%
Our prediction
Sholing to win
Double chanceSholing or SE Dons (no draw)
80% chance1.16
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.28
BTTSBoth teams to score
73% chance1.32
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sholing, full-time Sholing
35% chance2.84fair
Sholing vs SE Dons odds movement
Sholing win1.76unchanged
Draw4.15-0.18
SE Dons win3.38-0.32
Over 2.5 goals1.28-0.05
Under 2.5 goals3.08-0.17
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Sholing vs SE Dons prediction
Sholing vs SE Dons prediction, who wins and at what price
Sholing are a narrow favourite in the Sholing vs SE Dons prediction, rated 54% to win this FA Cup match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. SE Dons sit at 26% and the draw at 20%.
The goal expectancy is 3.92 in total, split 2.33 to Sholing and 1.59 to SE Dons. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 73%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is sholing to win at 54%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.76. That price implies 57%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, sholing or SE Dons (no draw) covers 80% of outcomes at 1.16.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Sholing average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, SE Dons 2.7 and 1.7 across 3.
Sholing vs SE Dons over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 26% and under 3.5 45%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 90% and over 2.5 at 74%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%; 1xBet pay 1.28.
The chance of both teams scoring is 73%, built from Sholing scoring in 90% of runs and SE Dons in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Sholing and 10% for SE Dons.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 73%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sholing vs SE Dons: 2-1 (8.6%), 1-1 (7.4%) and 2-2 (6.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sholing, full-time Sholing leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 83%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Sholing vs SE Dons
The grid built from 2.33 and 1.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sholing to win54%1.76
Draw20%4.15
SE Dons to win26%3.38
Sholing, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
SE Dons, draw no bet32%fair 3.12
Double chance
Sholing or draw75%1.24
SE Dons or draw46%1.86
Sholing or SE Dons (no draw)80%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.28
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 4.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.20
Under 2.5 goals26%3.08
Under 3.5 goals45%fair 2.23
BTTS
Both teams to score73%1.32
Not both teams to score28%3.05
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.90
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
Sholing to score90%fair 1.11
SE Dons to score80%fair 1.26
Sholing clean sheet20%fair 4.90
SE Dons clean sheet10%fair 10.31
Sholing to win to nil19%fair 5.32
SE Dons to win to nil9%fair 11.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.6%
1-17.4%
2-26.8%
3-16.7%
1-25.8%
2-05.4%
Half-time / full-time
Sholing / Sholing35.2%
SE Dons / SE Dons15.3%
Draw / Sholing15%
Draw / Draw9.4%
Draw / SE Dons8.3%
Questions about Sholing vs SE Dons
Who will win Sholing vs SE Dons?
The model gives Sholing the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Sholing vs SE Dons correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sholing vs SE Dons?
The BTTS yes line is rated 73%. Sholing find the net in 90% of simulated matches and SE Dons in 80%.
When do Sholing play SE Dons?
Sholing vs SE Dons starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.