FA Cup
Port ValeHomeWDLWW
Sat 7 Nov
ScunthorpeAwayLWLLL612217
Port Vale winDrawScunthorpe win
Port ValeHomeWDLWWScunthorpeAwayLWLLL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.99 2.00 : 0.99
- Favourite
- 61% Port Vale
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Port Vale vs Scunthorpe betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.21 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.21 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.21 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Port Vale to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe are 1.57 for Port Vale at 22Bet, 4.15 for the draw at 22Bet and 5.21 for Scunthorpe at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.67 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.13 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (22Bet) and no 2.02 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
61%
Our prediction
Port Vale to win
Double chancePort Vale or draw
83% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Port Vale, full-time Port Vale
39% chance2.55fair
Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction
Our Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction and pick
Port Vale are the clear favourite in the Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction, rated 61% to win this FA Cup match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Scunthorpe sit at 18% and the draw at 22%.
The goal expectancy is 2.99 in total, split 2.00 to Port Vale and 0.99 to Scunthorpe. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is port Vale to win at 61%. At 1.57 with 22Bet the market prices it at 64%, against 61% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Port Vale or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.14.
With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Port Vale have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Scunthorpe 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 12.
Port Vale vs Scunthorpe goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.67 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Port Vale scoring in 87% of runs and Scunthorpe in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Port Vale and 14% for Scunthorpe.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: 1-0 (10.1%), 2-0 (10.1%) and 1-1 (10%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Port Vale, full-time Port Vale leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Port Vale vs Scunthorpe
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 61% / 22% / 18% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Port Vale to win61%1.57
Draw22%4.15
Scunthorpe to win18%5.21
Port Vale, draw no bet78%fair 1.29
Scunthorpe, draw no bet22%fair 4.48
Double chance
Port Vale or draw83%1.14
Scunthorpe or draw39%2.31
Port Vale or Scunthorpe (no draw)78%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.67
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.86
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.13
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.71
Not both teams to score45%2.02
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Port Vale to score87%fair 1.16
Scunthorpe to score63%fair 1.59
Port Vale clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Scunthorpe clean sheet14%fair 7.41
Port Vale to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Scunthorpe to win to nil13%fair 8.00
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-010.1%
2-010.1%
1-110%
2-110%
3-06.7%
3-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Port Vale / Port Vale39.2%
Draw / Port Vale18.4%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Scunthorpe / Scunthorpe9.9%
Draw / Scunthorpe6.8%
Questions about Port Vale vs Scunthorpe
Port Vale or Scunthorpe: which side does the model back?
The model gives Port Vale the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Port Vale find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Scunthorpe in 63%.
When is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.