Leatherhead vs Yeovil Town prediction

Leatherhead vs Yeovil Town prediction, who wins and at what price

Leatherhead host Yeovil Town on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Yeovil Town at 68%, the draw at 19% and Leatherhead at 13%: that is the Leatherhead vs Yeovil Town prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.11 for Leatherhead and 2.56 for Yeovil Town, a total of 3.67, which puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 63%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is yeovil Town to win at 68%. The best price in our comparison is 1.41 at 1xBet, which implies 71%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Yeovil Town or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.06.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Leatherhead average 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Yeovil Town 2.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Leatherhead vs Yeovil Town over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 88%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 50%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 50%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; 1xBet pay 1.35.

The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Leatherhead scoring in 67% of runs and Yeovil Town in 92%; clean sheets come at 8% for Leatherhead and 33% for Yeovil Town.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.3%, followed by 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Yeovil Town, full-time Yeovil Town leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.