FA Cup
Harborough TownHomeWWW
3:1Half-time 1:0
Spennymoor TownAwayWWL572320
Harborough Town winDrawSpennymoor Town win
Harborough TownHomeWWWSpennymoor TownAwayWWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.81 1.82 : 0.99
- Favourite
- 57% Harborough Town
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.72 | 4.28 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.73 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Harborough Town to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction: Harborough Town 1.66 (1xBet), draw 3.72 (1xBet), Spennymoor Town 4.28 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.75 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.93 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
57%
Our prediction
Harborough Town to win
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw
80% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Harborough Town, full-time Harborough Town
36% chance2.79fair
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town odds movement
Harborough Town win1.66-0.01
Draw3.72-0.08
Spennymoor Town win4.28-0.47
Over 2.5 goals1.75-0.05
Under 2.5 goals1.93-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction, who wins and at what price
The Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction leans to Harborough Town: 57% against 20% for Spennymoor Town, with 23% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.82 for Harborough Town and 0.99 for Spennymoor Town, a total of 2.81, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Harborough Town to win is the main selection, rated 57%. At 1.66 with 1xBet the market prices it at 60%, against 57% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town.
Harborough Town or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.15.
Form check: Harborough Town have won 3 of their last 3 with 7 scored and 3 conceded, Spennymoor Town 2 of 3 scoring 9 and conceding 4.
How many goals in Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 47%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.75.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Harborough Town score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Spennymoor Town; Spennymoor Town score in 63% while Harborough Town shut them out 37% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town: 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10.8%) and 2-0 (10%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Harborough Town, full-time Harborough Town leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town
The grid built from 1.82 and 0.99 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Harborough Town to win57%1.66
Draw23%3.72
Spennymoor Town to win20%4.28
Harborough Town, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Spennymoor Town, draw no bet26%fair 3.88
Double chance
Harborough Town or draw80%1.15
Spennymoor Town or draw43%1.99
Harborough Town or Spennymoor Town (no draw)77%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.75
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.23
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Under 2.5 goals47%1.93
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.73
Not both teams to score46%1.98
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.77
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Harborough Town to score84%fair 1.19
Spennymoor Town to score63%fair 1.59
Harborough Town clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Spennymoor Town clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Harborough Town to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Spennymoor Town to win to nil15%fair 6.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011%
1-110.8%
2-010%
2-19.9%
3-06%
0-06%
Half-time / full-time
Harborough Town / Harborough Town35.9%
Draw / Harborough Town18.1%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Spennymoor Town / Spennymoor Town11.2%
Draw / Spennymoor Town7.7%
Questions about Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town
Harborough Town or Spennymoor Town: which side does the model back?
The model gives Harborough Town the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Harborough Town find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Spennymoor Town in 63%.
When do Harborough Town play Spennymoor Town?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.