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Live 12 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
GillinghamHomeWLDLW
Sat 7 Nov
BarrowAwayWDWWD
572419
Gillingham winDrawBarrow win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.82
1.84 : 0.98
Favourite
57%
Gillingham
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Gillingham vs Barrow betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.653.844.941.781.971.751.97Bet
Betwinner1.653.844.941.781.971.751.97Bet
Melbet1.653.844.941.781.971.751.97Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Gillingham to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Gillingham price at 1.65, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.84 and 22Bet have Barrow longest at 4.94.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.97 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (22Bet) and no 1.97 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

57%

Our prediction

Gillingham to win
StrongExpected goals 1.84 : 0.98-5.3% against the best price
Double chanceGillingham or draw
81% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gillingham, full-time Gillingham
36% chance2.75fair

Gillingham vs Barrow prediction

Gillingham vs Barrow prediction, who wins and at what price

The Gillingham vs Barrow prediction leans to Gillingham: 57% against 19% for Barrow, with 24% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.84 for Gillingham and 0.98 for Barrow, a total of 2.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is gillingham to win at 57%. The best price in our comparison is 1.65 at 22Bet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Gillingham vs Barrow.

For a safer line, gillingham or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.15.

Gillingham average 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Barrow 1.6 and 0.8 across 5.

How many goals in Gillingham vs Barrow? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.78.

Both teams to score is 54%: Gillingham find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Barrow in 63%. Gillingham keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Barrow 16%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Gillingham vs Barrow: 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10.7%) and 2-0 (10.1%).

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Gillingham vs Barrow; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Gillingham, full-time Gillingham is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

All markets, Gillingham vs Barrow

The grid built from 1.84 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Gillingham to win57%1.65
Draw24%3.84
Barrow to win19%4.94
Gillingham, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Barrow, draw no bet25%fair 4.03

Double chance

Gillingham or draw81%1.15
Barrow or draw43%2.16
Gillingham or Barrow (no draw)76%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.78
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.21
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%1.97
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.75
Not both teams to score46%1.97

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Gillingham to score84%fair 1.19
Barrow to score63%fair 1.60
Gillingham clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Barrow clean sheet16%fair 6.29
Gillingham to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Barrow to win to nil15%fair 6.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011%
1-110.7%
2-010.1%
2-19.9%
3-06.2%
3-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

Gillingham / Gillingham36.4%
Draw / Gillingham18.2%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Barrow / Barrow10.9%
Draw / Barrow7.6%

Questions about Gillingham vs Barrow

Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?

The model gives Gillingham the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Gillingham vs Barrow?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Gillingham vs Barrow?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Gillingham find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Barrow in 63%.

What time does Gillingham vs Barrow kick off?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Gillingham v BarrowGillingham to win, 57%
1.65Bet