Dover vs Dorking Wanderers prediction

Dover vs Dorking Wanderers prediction and best bet

Dover host Dorking Wanderers on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Dorking Wanderers at 46%, the draw at 24% and Dover at 30%: that is the Dover vs Dorking Wanderers prediction in one line.

Dover are expected to score 1.55 and Dorking Wanderers 1.95, so the total line is 3.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 69%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is dover or Dorking Wanderers (no draw) at 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.21. That price implies 83%, 7 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Dover average 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded across their last 3, Dorking Wanderers 2.5 and 2.2 across 4.

Goals forecast for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Dover vs Dorking Wanderers reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.40 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 69%: Dover find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Dorking Wanderers in 86%. Dover keep a clean sheet 14% of the time and Dorking Wanderers 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.1%, then 1-2 at 8.9% and 2-1 at 7.1%.

With the top scoreline at 9.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Dover vs Dorking Wanderers; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Dorking Wanderers, full-time Dorking Wanderers is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.