Egypt Cup
El Gouna FCHomeLLD
0:0
El ShortaAway702010
El Gouna FC winDrawEl Shorta win
El Gouna FCHomeLLDEl ShortaAway- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.89 2.17 : 0.72
- Favourite
- 70% El Gouna FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
El Gouna FC vs El Shorta odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.37 | 4.37 | 8.32 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.33 | 4.50 | 8.20 | 1.68 | 2.08 | 1.96 | 1.70 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.37 | 4.37 | 8.32 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.37 | 4.37 | 8.32 | 1.69 | 2.10 | 2.09 | 1.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
El Gouna FC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the El Gouna FC vs El Shorta prediction: El Gouna FC 1.37 (Melbet), draw 4.50 (BC.Game), El Shorta 8.32 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.10 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.09 (22Bet) and no 1.70 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
70%
Our prediction
El Gouna FC to win
Double chanceEl Gouna FC or draw
90% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time El Gouna FC, full-time El Gouna FC
47% chance2.12fair
El Gouna FC vs El Shorta odds movement
El Gouna FC win1.37+0.04
Draw4.50-0.25
El Shorta win8.32+0.52
Over 2.5 goals1.69+0.11
Under 2.5 goals2.10-0.18
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 4 Nov, 02:35 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
El Gouna FC vs El Shorta prediction
El Gouna FC vs El Shorta prediction and best bet
El Gouna FC vs El Shorta prediction for the Egypt Cup on Thursday, 5 November 2026: the model makes El Gouna FC the clear favourite at 70%, with the draw at 20% and El Shorta at 10%.
The goal expectancy is 2.89 in total, split 2.17 to El Gouna FC and 0.72 to El Shorta. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 44%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is el Gouna FC to win at 70%. At 1.37 with Melbet the market prices it at 73%, against 70% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on El Gouna FC vs El Shorta.
For a safer line, el Gouna FC or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.04.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
El Gouna FC vs El Shorta goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 67%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; Melbet pay 1.69.
BTTS yes stands at 44%. El Gouna FC score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for El Shorta; El Shorta score in 51% while El Gouna FC shut them out 49% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for El Gouna FC vs El Shorta: 2-0 (13.1%), 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time El Gouna FC, full-time El Gouna FC is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market rated for El Gouna FC vs El Shorta
The grid built from 2.17 and 0.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
El Gouna FC to win70%1.37
Draw20%4.50
El Shorta to win10%8.32
El Gouna FC, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
El Shorta, draw no bet13%fair 7.69
Double chance
El Gouna FC or draw90%1.04
El Shorta or draw30%2.91
El Gouna FC or El Shorta (no draw)80%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals44%2.10
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.09
Not both teams to score56%1.70
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
El Gouna FC to score89%fair 1.13
El Shorta to score51%fair 1.95
El Gouna FC clean sheet49%fair 2.05
El Shorta clean sheet11%fair 8.77
El Gouna FC to win to nil45%fair 2.23
El Shorta to win to nil10%fair 10.42
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-013.1%
1-012.1%
3-09.5%
2-19.4%
1-18.7%
3-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
El Gouna FC / El Gouna FC47.2%
Draw / El Gouna FC20.6%
Draw / Draw11.4%
El Shorta / El Shorta5.8%
Draw / El Shorta4.5%
Questions about El Gouna FC vs El Shorta
Who will win El Gouna FC vs El Shorta?
The model gives El Gouna FC the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for El Gouna FC vs El Shorta?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in El Gouna FC vs El Shorta?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. El Gouna FC find the net in 89% of simulated matches and El Shorta in 51%.
When do El Gouna FC play El Shorta?
Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.