Egypt Premier League
Asyut PetrolHomeWLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
El Gouna FCAwayLLD303337
Asyut Petrol winDrawEl Gouna FC win
Asyut PetrolHomeWLDEl Gouna FCAwayLLD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.02 0.93 : 1.09
- Favourite
- 38% El Gouna FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 32% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.10 | 2.78 | 2.36 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.07 | 1.66 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.13 | 2.86 | 2.50 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.15 | 2.84 | 2.40 | 2.52 | 1.47 | 2.12 | 1.61 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.13 | 2.86 | 2.50 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.13 | 2.86 | 2.50 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
El Gouna FC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC prediction: Asyut Petrol 3.15 (BC.Game), draw 2.86 (Melbet), El Gouna FC 2.50 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.65 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.47 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.12 (BC.Game) and no 1.68 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
El Gouna FC or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
68% chance1.47
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
60% chance1.67fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time El Gouna FC, full-time El Gouna FC
22% chance4.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.68fair
Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC prediction
Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC prediction, who wins and at what price
Asyut Petrol host El Gouna FC on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Egypt Premier League, and the model has El Gouna FC at 38%, the draw at 33% and Asyut Petrol at 30%: that is the Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.93 for Asyut Petrol and 1.09 for El Gouna FC, a total of 2.02, which puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is el Gouna FC or draw at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at Betwinner, which implies 75%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 33% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Asyut Petrol average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 3, El Gouna FC 0.7 and 1.7 across 3.
A low-scoring Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 60%, over 2.5 at 32%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 68% and under 3.5 is 85%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; BC.Game pay 1.47.
Both teams to score is 42%: Asyut Petrol find the net in 61% of simulated matches and El Gouna FC in 66%. Asyut Petrol keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and El Gouna FC 40%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14.5%, followed by 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (13.3%).
With the top scoreline at 14.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time El Gouna FC, full-time El Gouna FC is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 60%.
Every market for Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 33% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Asyut Petrol to win30%3.15
Draw33%2.86
El Gouna FC to win38%2.50
Asyut Petrol, draw no bet44%fair 2.29
El Gouna FC, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Double chance
Asyut Petrol or draw62%1.49
El Gouna FC or draw71%1.33
Asyut Petrol or El Gouna FC (no draw)68%1.39
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Over 2.5 goals32%2.65
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.80
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 18.52
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Under 2.5 goals68%1.47
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.17
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.12
Not both teams to score58%1.68
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.68
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.33
Second-half goal67%fair 1.49
Team goals
Asyut Petrol to score61%fair 1.65
El Gouna FC to score66%fair 1.51
Asyut Petrol clean sheet34%fair 2.98
El Gouna FC clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Asyut Petrol to win to nil27%fair 3.69
El Gouna FC to win to nil35%fair 2.86
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-114.5%
1-113.4%
0-013.3%
1-012.3%
0-27.9%
1-27.3%
Half-time / full-time
El Gouna FC / El Gouna FC22.2%
Draw / Draw21.5%
Asyut Petrol / Asyut Petrol16.9%
Draw / El Gouna FC15.2%
Draw / Asyut Petrol12.4%
Questions about Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC
Who is favourite in Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC?
The model gives El Gouna FC the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 33%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 32%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Asyut Petrol find the net in 61% of simulated matches and El Gouna FC in 66%.
What time does Asyut Petrol vs El Gouna FC kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.