Egypt Premier League
El Gouna FCHomeLLD
0:2Half-time 0:0
Smouha SCAwayWWD213445
El Gouna FC winDrawSmouha SC win
El Gouna FCHomeLLDSmouha SCAwayWWD- Kick-off Mon 19 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.86 0.72 : 1.14
- Favourite
- 44% Smouha SC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 37% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.23 | 2.65 | 2.03 | 2.83 | 1.33 | 2.38 | 1.51 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Smouha SC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC prediction: El Gouna FC 4.23 (1xBet), draw 2.65 (1xBet), Smouha SC 2.03 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (1xBet) and no 1.51 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
79%
Our prediction
Smouha SC or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
72% chance1.33
BTTSNot both teams to score
63% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.80fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
18% chance5.65fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Smouha SC, full-time Smouha SC
26% chance3.79fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.76fair
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC prediction
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC prediction and best bet
El Gouna FC host Smouha SC on Monday, 19 October 2026 in the Egypt Premier League, and the model has Smouha SC at 44%, the draw at 34% and El Gouna FC at 21%: that is the El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 1.86 in total, split 0.72 to El Gouna FC and 1.14 to Smouha SC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 28% and both teams to score 37%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Smouha SC or draw is the main selection, rated 79%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.15. That price implies 87%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 34%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
El Gouna FC average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded across their last 3, Smouha SC 1.3 and 0.3 across 3.
A low-scoring El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC reads 56% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 72%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.33 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 37%, built from El Gouna FC scoring in 51% of runs and Smouha SC in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for El Gouna FC and 49% for Smouha SC.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC: 0-1 (17.7%), 0-0 (15.6%) and 1-1 (12.8%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Smouha SC, full-time Smouha SC leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC
The grid built from 0.72 and 1.14 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
El Gouna FC to win21%4.23
Draw34%2.65
Smouha SC to win44%2.03
El Gouna FC, draw no bet32%fair 3.10
Smouha SC, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Double chance
El Gouna FC or draw56%1.63
Smouha SC or draw79%1.15
El Gouna FC or Smouha SC (no draw)66%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.80
Over 2.5 goals28%2.83
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.40
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 24.39
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.25
Under 2.5 goals72%1.33
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score37%2.38
Not both teams to score63%1.51
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.76
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.88
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56
Team goals
El Gouna FC to score51%fair 1.95
Smouha SC to score68%fair 1.47
El Gouna FC clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Smouha SC clean sheet49%fair 2.05
El Gouna FC to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Smouha SC to win to nil41%fair 2.45
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
0-117.7%
0-015.6%
1-112.8%
1-011.2%
0-210.1%
1-27.3%
Half-time / full-time
Smouha SC / Smouha SC26.4%
Draw / Draw23.1%
Draw / Smouha SC17.8%
El Gouna FC / El Gouna FC12.3%
Draw / El Gouna FC9.9%
Questions about El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC
Who is favourite in El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
The model gives Smouha SC the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 34%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 17.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 28%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 37%. El Gouna FC find the net in 51% of simulated matches and Smouha SC in 68%.
When do El Gouna FC play Smouha SC?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Monday, 19 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.