Smouha SC vs El Minya prediction

Smouha SC vs El Minya prediction, who wins and at what price

Smouha SC host El Minya on Friday, 6 November 2026 in the Egypt Cup, and the model has Smouha SC at 70%, the draw at 19% and El Minya at 11%: that is the Smouha SC vs El Minya prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.73 in total, split 2.06 to Smouha SC and 0.67 to El Minya. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 43%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is smouha SC to win at 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.37 at BC.Game, which implies 73%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, smouha SC or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.04.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

How many goals in Smouha SC vs El Minya? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Smouha SC vs El Minya reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 22Bet pay 1.81.

Both teams to score is 43%: Smouha SC find the net in 87% of simulated matches and El Minya in 49%. Smouha SC keep a clean sheet 51% of the time and El Minya 13%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Smouha SC vs El Minya: 2-0 (13.8%), 1-0 (13.4%) and 3-0 (9.5%).

With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Smouha SC vs El Minya; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Smouha SC, full-time Smouha SC leads at 46%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.