Copa Ecuador
LDU de QuitoHomeWDLDL
Thu 5 Nov
Universidad CatolicaAwayLDDDL262450
LDU de Quito winDrawUniversidad Catolica win
LDU de QuitoHomeWDLDLUniversidad CatolicaAwayLDDDL- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.82 1.13 : 1.69
- Favourite
- 51% Universidad Catolica
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
51%
Our prediction
Universidad Catolica to win
1.98fair
Double chanceLDU de Quito or Universidad Catolica (no draw)
76% chance1.32fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.87fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.81fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Universidad Catolica, full-time Universidad Catolica
31% chance3.22fair
LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica head to head
1LDU de Quito wins
1Draw
0Universidad Catolica wins
2 meetings since coverage began, 7 goals in total: LDU de Quito scored 4, Universidad Catolica scored 3.
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica prediction
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica prediction, who wins and at what price
Universidad Catolica are a narrow favourite in the LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica prediction, rated 51% to win this Copa Ecuador match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. LDU de Quito sit at 26% and the draw at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.13 for LDU de Quito and 1.69 for Universidad Catolica, a total of 2.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica is universidad Catolica to win, a 51% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
LDU de Quito or Universidad Catolica (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance.
Form check: LDU de Quito have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 8 conceded, Universidad Catolica 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 6.
The previous 2 meetings between these sides produced 7 goals in total; LDU de Quito won 1, Universidad Catolica won 0 and 1 finished level.
How many goals in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%.
Both teams to score is 55%: LDU de Quito find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Universidad Catolica in 82%. LDU de Quito keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Universidad Catolica 32%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.4%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Universidad Catolica, full-time Universidad Catolica is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
LDU de Quito to win26%fair 3.92
Draw24%fair 4.15
Universidad Catolica to win51%fair 1.98
LDU de Quito, draw no bet34%fair 2.98
Universidad Catolica, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw50%fair 2.02
Universidad Catolica or draw75%fair 1.34
LDU de Quito or Universidad Catolica (no draw)76%fair 1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals54%fair 1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals46%fair 2.16
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score55%fair 1.81
Not both teams to score45%fair 2.24
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
LDU de Quito to score68%fair 1.48
Universidad Catolica to score82%fair 1.23
LDU de Quito clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Universidad Catolica clean sheet32%fair 3.10
LDU de Quito to win to nil17%fair 5.88
Universidad Catolica to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
0-110.1%
1-29.6%
0-28.5%
1-06.7%
2-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Universidad Catolica / Universidad Catolica31.1%
Draw / Universidad Catolica16.5%
LDU de Quito / LDU de Quito14.4%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / LDU de Quito9.4%
Questions about LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito or Universidad Catolica: which side does the model back?
The model gives Universidad Catolica the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. LDU de Quito find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Universidad Catolica in 82%.
When is LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.