Copa Ecuador
Independiente del ValleHomeWLDWW
Fri 6 Nov
Delfin SCAwayWWLLW582319
Independiente del Valle winDrawDelfin SC win
Independiente del ValleHomeWLDWWDelfin SCAwayWWLLW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.04 1.98 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 58% Independiente del Valle
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
58%
Our prediction
Independiente del Valle to win
1.72fair
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw
81% chance1.23fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.72fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.75fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle
38% chance2.66fair
Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC head to head
1Independiente del Valle wins
0Draws
0Delfin SC wins
- 29 Oct 26Delfin SC0:3Independiente del Valle
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Independiente del Valle scored 3, Delfin SC scored 0.
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC prediction
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC prediction and best bet
The Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC prediction leans to Independiente del Valle: 58% against 19% for Delfin SC, with 23% left for the draw, in the Copa Ecuador on Friday, 6 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.04 in total, split 1.98 to Independiente del Valle and 1.06 to Delfin SC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Independiente del Valle to win is the main selection, rated 58%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, independiente del Valle or draw covers 81% of outcomes.
Over the last 5 matches Independiente del Valle stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Delfin SC show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Independiente del Valle score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Delfin SC; Delfin SC score in 65% while Independiente del Valle shut them out 35% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.5%).
With the top scoreline at 10%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Independiente del Valle, full-time Independiente del Valle is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
All markets, Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC
The grid built from 1.98 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win58%fair 1.72
Draw23%fair 4.35
Delfin SC to win19%fair 5.32
Independiente del Valle, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
Delfin SC, draw no bet24%fair 4.10
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw81%fair 1.23
Delfin SC or draw42%fair 2.39
Independiente del Valle or Delfin SC (no draw)77%fair 1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.76
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.24
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Under 2.5 goals42%fair 2.39
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57
BTTS
Both teams to score57%fair 1.75
Not both teams to score43%fair 2.34
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.52
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Independiente del Valle to score86%fair 1.16
Delfin SC to score65%fair 1.53
Independiente del Valle clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Delfin SC clean sheet14%fair 7.25
Independiente del Valle to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Delfin SC to win to nil13%fair 7.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
2-19.9%
1-09.5%
2-09.4%
3-16.6%
3-06.2%
Half-time / full-time
Independiente del Valle / Independiente del Valle37.6%
Draw / Independiente del Valle17.9%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Delfin SC / Delfin SC11%
Draw / Delfin SC7.3%
Questions about Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?
The model gives Independiente del Valle the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Independiente del Valle find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Delfin SC in 65%.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.