HNL
Istra 1961HomeLWLDW
Sat 7 Nov
HNK RijekaAwayLWWLD282547
Istra 1961 winDrawHNK Rijeka win
Istra 1961HomeLWLDWHNK RijekaAwayLWWLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.89 1.23 : 1.66
- Favourite
- 47% HNK Rijeka
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.63 | 3.62 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.64 | 2.13 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.50 | 3.55 | 1.87 | 1.78 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.63 | 3.62 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.64 | 2.13 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.63 | 3.62 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 2.01 | 1.64 | 2.13 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
HNK Rijeka to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka are 3.63 for Istra 1961 at Melbet, 3.62 for the draw at Melbet and 1.90 for HNK Rijeka at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.01 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (BC.Game) and no 2.13 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Istra 1961 or HNK Rijeka (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time HNK Rijeka, full-time HNK Rijeka
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka prediction
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka prediction and best bet
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka prediction for the HNL on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes HNK Rijeka marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 25% and Istra 1961 at 28%.
Istra 1961 are expected to score 1.23 and HNK Rijeka 1.66, so the total line is 2.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka is istra 1961 or HNK Rijeka (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.25 with Melbet the market prices it at 80%, against 75% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka.
Form check: Istra 1961 have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 6 conceded, HNK Rijeka 2 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka
On the goal lines Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; BC.Game pay 1.78.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Istra 1961 scoring in 71% of runs and HNK Rijeka in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Istra 1961 and 29% for HNK Rijeka.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%, followed by 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time HNK Rijeka, full-time HNK Rijeka is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 25% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Istra 1961 to win28%3.63
Draw25%3.62
HNK Rijeka to win47%1.90
Istra 1961, draw no bet37%fair 2.67
HNK Rijeka, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Double chance
Istra 1961 or draw53%1.81
HNK Rijeka or draw72%1.25
Istra 1961 or HNK Rijeka (no draw)75%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.78
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.01
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.65
Not both teams to score42%2.13
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Istra 1961 to score71%fair 1.41
HNK Rijeka to score81%fair 1.23
Istra 1961 clean sheet19%fair 5.26
HNK Rijeka clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Istra 1961 to win to nil18%fair 5.71
HNK Rijeka to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-29.4%
0-19.2%
0-27.7%
2-17%
1-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
HNK Rijeka / HNK Rijeka29.1%
Istra 1961 / Istra 196116.2%
Draw / HNK Rijeka15.6%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Istra 196110.2%
Questions about Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka
Who is favourite in Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
The model gives HNK Rijeka the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Istra 1961 find the net in 71% of simulated matches and HNK Rijeka in 81%.
When do Istra 1961 play HNK Rijeka?
Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka starts at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.