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Live 10 UTC
Colombia Primera B Clausura - 15 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Union MagdalenaHomeDDWWD
1:0Half-time 1:0
Depor FCAwayLDWLL
78157
Union Magdalena winDrawDepor FC win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.19
2.53 : 0.66
Favourite
78%
Union Magdalena
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.225.3510.001.562.222.041.68Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Union Magdalena to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Union Magdalena vs Depor FC are 1.22 for Union Magdalena at 1xBet, 5.35 for the draw at 1xBet and 10.00 for Depor FC at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.56 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.22 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (1xBet) and no 1.68 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

78%

Our prediction

Union Magdalena to win
BankerExpected goals 2.53 : 0.66-4.8% against the best price
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw
93% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.56
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Union Magdalena, full-time Union Magdalena
55% chance1.83fair

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC prediction

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC prediction and best bet

The Union Magdalena vs Depor FC prediction leans to Union Magdalena: 78% against 7% for Depor FC, with 15% left for the draw, in the Colombia Primera B on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.19 in total, split 2.53 to Union Magdalena and 0.66 to Depor FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 45%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Union Magdalena to win is the main selection, rated 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 1xBet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Union Magdalena vs Depor FC.

Union Magdalena or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 15%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Union Magdalena average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Depor FC 0.8 and 1.2 across 5.

Goals forecast for Union Magdalena vs Depor FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.56.

Both teams to score is 45%: Union Magdalena find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Depor FC in 48%. Union Magdalena keep a clean sheet 52% of the time and Depor FC 8%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 13.2%, followed by 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Union Magdalena, full-time Union Magdalena is the top combination at 55%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market for Union Magdalena vs Depor FC

The grid built from 2.53 and 0.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Union Magdalena to win78%1.22
Draw15%5.35
Depor FC to win7%10.00
Union Magdalena, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Depor FC, draw no bet9%fair 11.49

Double chance

Union Magdalena or draw93%-
Depor FC or draw22%3.49
Union Magdalena or Depor FC (no draw)85%1.09

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.56
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.61
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 2.5 goals39%2.22
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.04
Not both teams to score55%1.68

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.38
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Union Magdalena to score92%fair 1.09
Depor FC to score48%fair 2.07
Union Magdalena clean sheet52%fair 1.93
Depor FC clean sheet8%fair 12.50
Union Magdalena to win to nil48%fair 2.10
Depor FC to win to nil7%fair 14.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-013.2%
3-011.1%
1-010.4%
2-18.7%
3-17.3%
4-07%

Half-time / full-time

Union Magdalena / Union Magdalena54.5%
Draw / Union Magdalena20.6%
Draw / Draw8.9%
Depor FC / Depor FC4%
Draw / Depor FC3.1%

Questions about Union Magdalena vs Depor FC

Who is favourite in Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

The model gives Union Magdalena the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 15%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Union Magdalena find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Depor FC in 48%.

When do Union Magdalena play Depor FC?

Kick-off is 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Union Magdalena v Depor FCUnion Magdalena to win, 78%
1.22Bet