Colombia Primera B
PopayanHomeLLLWD
1:1Half-time 1:1
Union MagdalenaAwayDDWWD323038
Popayan winDrawUnion Magdalena win
PopayanHomeLLLWDUnion MagdalenaAwayDDWWD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.40 1.13 : 1.27
- Favourite
- 39% Union Magdalena
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Popayan vs Union Magdalena betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.89 | 2.92 | 2.40 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 1.84 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.91 | 3.31 | 2.36 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Union Magdalena to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Popayan vs Union Magdalena prediction: Popayan 2.91 (22Bet), draw 3.31 (22Bet), Union Magdalena 2.40 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.62 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (22Bet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Popayan or Union Magdalena (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Union Magdalena, full-time Union Magdalena
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Popayan v Union Magdalena head to head
0Popayan wins
1Draw
0Union Magdalena wins
- 7 Oct 26Popayan1:1Union Magdalena
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Popayan scored 1, Union Magdalena scored 1.
Popayan vs Union Magdalena prediction
Popayan vs Union Magdalena prediction, who wins and at what price
Popayan vs Union Magdalena prediction for the Colombia Primera B on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model calls it close, Popayan 32%, draw 30%, Union Magdalena 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Popayan are expected to score 1.13 and Union Magdalena 1.27, so the total line is 2.40 goals; over 2.5 lands at 43% and BTTS at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Popayan or Union Magdalena (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 6 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Popayan vs Union Magdalena.
Popayan average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Union Magdalena 1.2 and 0.8 across 5.
A low-scoring Popayan vs Union Magdalena? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.62 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 50%: Popayan find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Union Magdalena in 72%. Popayan keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Union Magdalena 32%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, followed by 0-1 (11.5%) and 1-0 (10.3%).
With the top scoreline at 13%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Popayan vs Union Magdalena; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Union Magdalena, full-time Union Magdalena leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Popayan vs Union Magdalena
The grid built from 1.13 and 1.27 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Popayan to win32%2.91
Draw30%3.31
Union Magdalena to win39%2.40
Popayan, draw no bet45%fair 2.22
Union Magdalena, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Double chance
Popayan or draw61%1.55
Union Magdalena or draw68%1.38
Popayan or Union Magdalena (no draw)71%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.22
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals57%1.62
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score50%2.11
Not both teams to score50%1.85
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Popayan to score68%fair 1.48
Union Magdalena to score72%fair 1.39
Popayan clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Union Magdalena clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Popayan to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Union Magdalena to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113%
0-111.5%
1-010.3%
0-09.1%
1-28.3%
2-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Union Magdalena / Union Magdalena23.1%
Popayan / Popayan18.7%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Draw / Union Magdalena14.5%
Draw / Popayan12.4%
Questions about Popayan vs Union Magdalena
Who will win Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
The model gives Union Magdalena the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Popayan vs Union Magdalena?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Popayan find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Union Magdalena in 72%.
When is Popayan vs Union Magdalena and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.