Colombia Primera B
Bogota FCHomeDDDWD
1:1Half-time 0:0
Real SantanderAwayLWDWD472825
Bogota FC winDrawReal Santander win
Bogota FCHomeDDDWDReal SantanderAwayLWDWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.47 : 1.00
- Favourite
- 47% Bogota FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Bogota FC vs Real Santander
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.28 | 3.56 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bogota FC to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Bogota FC price at 1.92, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.28 and 1xBet have Real Santander longest at 3.56.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.99 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.70 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Bogota FC or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.70
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bogota FC, full-time Bogota FC
29% chance3.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Bogota FC vs Real Santander prediction
Bogota FC vs Real Santander prediction and best bet
Bogota FC are marginally ahead in the Bogota FC vs Real Santander prediction, rated 47% to win this Colombia Primera B match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Real Santander sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.
The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.47 to Bogota FC and 1.00 to Real Santander. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is bogota FC or draw at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.21 at 1xBet, which implies 83%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Bogota FC average 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Real Santander 1.0 and 1.0 across 5.
A low-scoring Bogota FC vs Real Santander? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Bogota FC vs Real Santander reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.70.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Bogota FC score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Real Santander; Real Santander score in 63% while Bogota FC shut them out 37% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.4%, then 1-1 at 12.4% and 2-0 at 9.1%.
With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Bogota FC vs Real Santander; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Bogota FC, full-time Bogota FC is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market rated for Bogota FC vs Real Santander
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 28% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Bogota FC to win47%1.92
Draw28%3.28
Real Santander to win25%3.56
Bogota FC, draw no bet66%fair 1.53
Real Santander, draw no bet35%fair 2.90
Double chance
Bogota FC or draw75%1.21
Real Santander or draw53%1.71
Bogota FC or Real Santander (no draw)72%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%1.99
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%1.70
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.83
Not both teams to score50%1.86
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Bogota FC to score77%fair 1.30
Real Santander to score63%fair 1.58
Bogota FC clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Real Santander clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Bogota FC to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Real Santander to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.4%
1-112.4%
2-09.1%
2-19.1%
0-08.5%
0-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Bogota FC / Bogota FC28.9%
Draw / Bogota FC16.8%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Real Santander / Real Santander14.3%
Draw / Real Santander10%
Questions about Bogota FC vs Real Santander
Bogota FC or Real Santander: which side does the model back?
The model gives Bogota FC the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Bogota FC vs Real Santander correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Bogota FC find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Real Santander in 63%.
When is Bogota FC vs Real Santander and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.