Colombia Primera B
Leones FCHomeDDWLL
1:2Half-time 0:0
OrsomarsoAwayLWDLW352936
Leones FC winDrawOrsomarso win
Leones FCHomeDDWLLOrsomarsoAwayLWDLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.49 1.24 : 1.25
- Favourite
- 36% Orsomarso
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Leones FC vs Orsomarso betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.14 | 2.50 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.77 | 1.92 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Orsomarso to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Leones FC vs Orsomarso prediction: Leones FC 2.50 (1xBet), draw 3.14 (1xBet), Orsomarso 2.50 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Leones FC or Orsomarso (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Orsomarso, full-time Orsomarso
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fair
Leones FC vs Orsomarso prediction
Leones FC vs Orsomarso prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Leones FC vs Orsomarso prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 35% home, 29% draw and 36% away in the Colombia Primera B. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Leones FC are expected to score 1.24 and Orsomarso 1.25, so the total line is 2.49 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is leones FC or Orsomarso (no draw) at 71%. At 1.25 with 1xBet the market prices it at 80%, against 71% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Leones FC vs Orsomarso.
Form check: Leones FC have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 6 conceded, Orsomarso 2 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 4.
A low-scoring Leones FC vs Orsomarso? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Leones FC score in 71% of simulations against a 29% clean sheet for Orsomarso; Orsomarso score in 71% while Leones FC shut them out 29% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Leones FC vs Orsomarso: 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-0 (10.3%).
With the top scoreline at 12.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Leones FC vs Orsomarso; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Orsomarso, full-time Orsomarso leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Leones FC vs Orsomarso
The grid built from 1.24 and 1.25 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Leones FC to win35%2.50
Draw29%3.14
Orsomarso to win36%2.50
Leones FC, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
Orsomarso, draw no bet50%fair 1.98
Double chance
Leones FC or draw64%1.39
Orsomarso or draw65%1.39
Leones FC or Orsomarso (no draw)71%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.01
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.69
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.77
Not both teams to score48%1.92
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Leones FC to score71%fair 1.41
Orsomarso to score71%fair 1.40
Leones FC clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Orsomarso clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Leones FC to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Orsomarso to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.4%
1-010.3%
0-08.3%
1-28%
2-18%
Half-time / full-time
Orsomarso / Orsomarso21.3%
Leones FC / Leones FC21%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Orsomarso13.4%
Draw / Leones FC13.3%
Questions about Leones FC vs Orsomarso
Who is favourite in Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
The model gives Orsomarso the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Leones FC find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Orsomarso in 71%.
When do Leones FC play Orsomarso?
Kick-off is 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.