Patriotas vs Envigado prediction

Patriotas vs Envigado prediction, who wins and at what price

The Patriotas vs Envigado prediction leans to Patriotas: 44% against 28% for Envigado, with 29% left for the draw, in the Colombia Primera B on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.36 for Patriotas and 1.03 for Envigado, a total of 2.39, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is patriotas or draw at 73%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Over the last 5 matches Patriotas stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Envigado show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Patriotas vs Envigado? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 43%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%.

Both teams to score is 47%: Patriotas find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Envigado in 64%. Patriotas keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Envigado 26%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 1-0 at 12.5% and 0-1 at 9.4%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Patriotas, full-time Patriotas leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.