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Live 11 UTC
Second League Round 14 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
NesebarHomeWDLLL
1:2Half-time 1:0
Chernomorets 1919 BurgasAwayWWLDW
282547
Nesebar winDrawChernomorets 1919 Burgas win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.57
1.07 : 1.50
Favourite
47%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.393.321.951.931.751.771.90Bet
22Bet3.173.482.101.911.831.732.00Bet
Betwinner3.173.482.101.911.831.732.00Bet
Melbet3.393.321.951.911.831.732.00Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3.39 for Nesebar at 1xBet, 3.48 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.10 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.93 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 2.00 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Nesebar or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.07 : 1.50-5.6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, full-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
28% chance3.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair

Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction

Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction, who wins and at what price

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are marginally ahead in the Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas prediction, rated 47% to win this Second League match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Nesebar sit at 28% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.07 for Nesebar and 1.50 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is nesebar or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (no draw) at 75%. At 1.26 with Betwinner the market prices it at 79%, against 75% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Nesebar average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.6 and 1.2 across 5.

How many goals in Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.83 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Nesebar score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score in 78% while Nesebar shut them out 22% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 0-1 at 11.5% and 1-2 at 9.2%.

With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, full-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

All markets, Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 25% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Nesebar to win28%3.39
Draw25%3.48
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win47%2.10
Nesebar, draw no bet37%fair 2.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, draw no bet63%fair 1.58

Double chance

Nesebar or draw53%1.68
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw73%1.31
Nesebar or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (no draw)75%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.93
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.83
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.77
Not both teams to score48%2.00

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Nesebar to score66%fair 1.52
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to score78%fair 1.29
Nesebar clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Nesebar to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win to nil32%fair 3.16

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
0-111.5%
1-29.2%
0-28.6%
1-08.2%
0-07.7%

Half-time / full-time

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / Chernomorets 1919 Burgas28.4%
Draw / Chernomorets 1919 Burgas16.3%
Draw / Draw16%
Nesebar / Nesebar15.2%
Draw / Nesebar10.3%

Questions about Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Who will win Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

The model gives Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Nesebar find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in 78%.

What time does Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas kick off?

Nesebar vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas starts at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Nesebar v Chernomorets 1919 BurgasNesebar or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (no draw), 75%
1.26Bet