Second League
MarekHomeWWLDL
1:3Half-time 0:2
CSKA Sofia IIAwayWWDDW312841
Marek winDrawCSKA Sofia II win
MarekHomeWWLDLCSKA Sofia IIAwayWWDDW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.46 1.12 : 1.34
- Favourite
- 42% CSKA Sofia II
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Marek vs CSKA Sofia II odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.96 | 3.08 | 2.24 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.02 | 3.24 | 2.17 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.81 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.02 | 3.24 | 2.17 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.81 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.02 | 3.24 | 2.17 | 2.04 | 1.67 | 1.81 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
CSKA Sofia II to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Marek price at 3.02, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.24 and 1xBet have CSKA Sofia II longest at 2.24.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.08 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.67 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Marek or CSKA Sofia II (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time CSKA Sofia II, full-time CSKA Sofia II
25% chance4.07fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Marek vs CSKA Sofia II prediction
Marek vs CSKA Sofia II prediction and best bet
The Marek vs CSKA Sofia II prediction leans to CSKA Sofia II: 42% against 31% for Marek, with 28% left for the draw, in the Second League on Friday, 30 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.12 for Marek and 1.34 for CSKA Sofia II, a total of 2.46, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is marek or CSKA Sofia II (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Marek vs CSKA Sofia II.
Form check: Marek have won 2 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 9 conceded, CSKA Sofia II 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.
A low-scoring Marek vs CSKA Sofia II? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Marek vs CSKA Sofia II reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.67 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Marek score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for CSKA Sofia II; CSKA Sofia II score in 74% while Marek shut them out 26% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%, followed by 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time CSKA Sofia II, full-time CSKA Sofia II leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Marek vs CSKA Sofia II
The grid built from 1.12 and 1.34 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Marek to win31%3.02
Draw28%3.24
CSKA Sofia II to win42%2.24
Marek, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
CSKA Sofia II, draw no bet57%fair 1.74
Double chance
Marek or draw58%1.56
CSKA Sofia II or draw69%1.30
Marek or CSKA Sofia II (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.08
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.67
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.82
Not both teams to score49%1.86
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Marek to score67%fair 1.48
CSKA Sofia II to score74%fair 1.36
Marek clean sheet26%fair 3.82
CSKA Sofia II clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Marek to win to nil24%fair 4.15
CSKA Sofia II to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
0-111.4%
1-09.6%
1-28.6%
0-08.5%
0-27.7%
Half-time / full-time
CSKA Sofia II / CSKA Sofia II24.6%
Marek / Marek17.7%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / CSKA Sofia II15%
Draw / Marek11.8%
Questions about Marek vs CSKA Sofia II
Who will win Marek vs CSKA Sofia II?
The model gives CSKA Sofia II the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Marek vs CSKA Sofia II?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Marek vs CSKA Sofia II both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Marek find the net in 67% of simulated matches and CSKA Sofia II in 74%.
When is Marek vs CSKA Sofia II and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.