Second League
Chernomorets 1919 BurgasHomeWWLDW
1:1Half-time 0:0
Sportist SvogeAwayWLDLD76168
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas winDrawSportist Svoge win
Chernomorets 1919 BurgasHomeWWLDWSportist SvogeAwayWLDLD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.70 2.18 : 0.52
- Favourite
- 76% Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 37% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.22 | 4.75 | 12.70 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 2.41 | 1.48 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge prediction: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.22 (1xBet), draw 4.75 (1xBet), Sportist Svoge 12.70 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.80 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.41 (1xBet) and no 1.48 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
76%
Our prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win
Double chanceChernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw
92% chance-
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
50% chance1.87
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
16% chance6.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, full-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
51% chance1.95fair
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge prediction, who wins and at what price
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas host Sportist Svoge on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Second League, and the model has Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at 76%, the draw at 16% and Sportist Svoge at 8%: that is the Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge prediction in one line.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are expected to score 2.18 and Sportist Svoge 0.52, so the total line is 2.70 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 37%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw covers 92% of outcomes at -.
The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Chernomorets 1919 Burgas stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Sportist Svoge show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.87.
BTTS yes stands at 37%. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Sportist Svoge; Sportist Svoge score in 41% while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas shut them out 60% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 16%, followed by 1-0 (14.7%) and 3-0 (11.6%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, full-time Chernomorets 1919 Burgas leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 76% / 16% / 8% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win76%1.22
Draw16%4.75
Sportist Svoge to win8%12.70
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Sportist Svoge, draw no bet9%fair 11.11
Double chance
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw92%-
Sportist Svoge or draw24%3.46
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or Sportist Svoge (no draw)84%1.11
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.80
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Under 2.5 goals50%1.87
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score37%2.41
Not both teams to score64%1.48
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.92
Second-half goal77%fair 1.29
Team goals
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to score89%fair 1.13
Sportist Svoge to score41%fair 2.47
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas clean sheet60%fair 1.68
Sportist Svoge clean sheet11%fair 8.85
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win to nil55%fair 1.83
Sportist Svoge to win to nil7%fair 14.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-016%
1-014.7%
3-011.6%
2-18.3%
1-17.6%
0-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / Chernomorets 1919 Burgas51.3%
Draw / Chernomorets 1919 Burgas22.2%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Sportist Svoge / Sportist Svoge3.8%
Draw / Sportist Svoge3.2%
Questions about Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or Sportist Svoge: which side does the model back?
The model gives Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge?
The BTTS yes line is rated 37%. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Sportist Svoge in 41%.
When do Chernomorets 1919 Burgas play Sportist Svoge?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.