Second League
Hebar 1918HomeWWWWL
2:1Half-time 1:0
NesebarAwayWDLLL671914
Hebar 1918 winDrawNesebar win
Hebar 1918HomeWWWWLNesebarAwayWDLLL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.15 2.24 : 0.91
- Favourite
- 67% Hebar 1918
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.20 | 8.05 | 1.58 | 2.18 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hebar 1918 to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Hebar 1918 price at 1.34, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.20 and 1xBet have Nesebar longest at 8.05.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.58 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.18 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
67%
Our prediction
Hebar 1918 to win
Double chanceHebar 1918 or draw
86% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hebar 1918, full-time Hebar 1918
45% chance2.23fair
Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar prediction
Our Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar prediction and pick
Hebar 1918 host Nesebar on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Second League, and the model has Hebar 1918 at 67%, the draw at 19% and Nesebar at 14%: that is the Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.15 in total, split 2.24 to Hebar 1918 and 0.91 to Nesebar. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Hebar 1918 to win is the main selection, rated 67%. At 1.34 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 67% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, hebar 1918 or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.02.
With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Hebar 1918 have won 4 of their last 5 with 14 scored and 6 conceded, Nesebar 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.
Goals forecast for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 61%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.58 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 54%: Hebar 1918 find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Nesebar in 60%. Hebar 1918 keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Nesebar 11%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.8%, followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.6%).
With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Hebar 1918, full-time Hebar 1918 is the top combination at 45%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
All markets, Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Hebar 1918 to win67%1.34
Draw19%4.20
Nesebar to win14%8.05
Hebar 1918, draw no bet83%fair 1.20
Nesebar, draw no bet17%fair 5.92
Double chance
Hebar 1918 or draw86%1.02
Nesebar or draw33%2.76
Hebar 1918 or Nesebar (no draw)81%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.58
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.59
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 2.5 goals40%2.18
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.63
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.82
Not both teams to score46%1.85
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Hebar 1918 to score89%fair 1.12
Nesebar to score60%fair 1.68
Hebar 1918 clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Nesebar clean sheet11%fair 9.43
Hebar 1918 to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Nesebar to win to nil10%fair 10.20
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.8%
2-19.8%
1-09.6%
1-18.7%
3-08%
3-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Hebar 1918 / Hebar 191844.9%
Draw / Hebar 191819.3%
Draw / Draw10.7%
Nesebar / Nesebar7.6%
Draw / Nesebar5.3%
Questions about Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar
Who is favourite in Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
The model gives Hebar 1918 the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Hebar 1918 find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Nesebar in 60%.
What time does Hebar 1918 vs Nesebar kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.