Second League
Pirin BlagoevgradHomeWDLLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
Etar Veliko TarnovoAwayWWLLW202159
Pirin Blagoevgrad winDrawEtar Veliko Tarnovo win
Pirin BlagoevgradHomeWDLLLEtar Veliko TarnovoAwayWWLLW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.27 1.18 : 2.09
- Favourite
- 58% Etar Veliko Tarnovo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.66 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.48 | 2.41 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.41 | 4.02 | 1.86 | 1.47 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.47 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.41 | 4.02 | 1.86 | 1.47 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.47 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.41 | 4.02 | 1.86 | 1.47 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.47 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 4.10 for Pirin Blagoevgrad at 1xBet, 4.02 for the draw at 22Bet and 1.86 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.47 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Melbet) and no 2.47 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
58%
Our prediction
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win
Double chanceEtar Veliko Tarnovo or draw
80% chance1.27
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Etar Veliko Tarnovo, full-time Etar Veliko Tarnovo
38% chance2.66fair
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo prediction
Our Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo prediction and pick
The Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo prediction leans to Etar Veliko Tarnovo: 58% against 20% for Pirin Blagoevgrad, with 21% left for the draw, in the Second League on Friday, 30 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.18 for Pirin Blagoevgrad and 2.09 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo, a total of 3.27, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is etar Veliko Tarnovo to win, a 58% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.86. That price implies 54%, 4 points under the model figure.
That gap is worth 8% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.27.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Pirin Blagoevgrad stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo reads 84% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 22Bet pay 1.47.
BTTS yes stands at 65%. Pirin Blagoevgrad score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Etar Veliko Tarnovo; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score in 88% while Pirin Blagoevgrad shut them out 12% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.8%, followed by 1-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Etar Veliko Tarnovo, full-time Etar Veliko Tarnovo is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
Every market rated for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 21% / 58% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Pirin Blagoevgrad to win20%4.10
Draw21%4.02
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win58%1.86
Pirin Blagoevgrad, draw no bet26%fair 3.85
Etar Veliko Tarnovo, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Double chance
Pirin Blagoevgrad or draw42%1.97
Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw80%1.27
Pirin Blagoevgrad or Etar Veliko Tarnovo (no draw)79%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.47
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 2.5 goals38%2.50
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.70
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.48
Not both teams to score35%2.47
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.31
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
Pirin Blagoevgrad to score69%fair 1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to score88%fair 1.14
Pirin Blagoevgrad clean sheet12%fair 8.06
Etar Veliko Tarnovo clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Pirin Blagoevgrad to win to nil11%fair 8.77
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.8%
1-19.4%
0-28.3%
0-17.9%
1-36.8%
0-35.8%
Half-time / full-time
Etar Veliko Tarnovo / Etar Veliko Tarnovo37.6%
Draw / Etar Veliko Tarnovo17.2%
Pirin Blagoevgrad / Pirin Blagoevgrad11.8%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Draw / Pirin Blagoevgrad7.5%
Questions about Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Who is favourite in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
The model gives Etar Veliko Tarnovo the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Pirin Blagoevgrad find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Etar Veliko Tarnovo in 88%.
When do Pirin Blagoevgrad play Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.