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Live 19 UTC
Challenger Pro League Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
DenderHomeWWWLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
KRC Genk IIAwayDLDD
691813
Dender winDrawKRC Genk II win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
3.55
2.49 : 1.06
Favourite
69%
Dender
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Dender vs KRC Genk II

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.384.656.001.332.831.492.42Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Dender to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Dender vs KRC Genk II prediction: Dender 1.38 (1xBet), draw 4.65 (1xBet), KRC Genk II 6.00 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.33 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

69%

Our prediction

Dender to win
BankerLostExpected goals 2.49 : 1.06-5.5% against the best price
Double chanceDender or draw
86% chance1.06Won
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.33Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.49Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.64fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dender, full-time Dender
46% chance2.16fairLost

Dender vs KRC Genk II odds movement

Dender win1.38-0.08
Draw4.65-0.66
KRC Genk II win6.00-0.59
Over 2.5 goals1.33-0.07
Under 2.5 goals2.83-0.14

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Dender vs KRC Genk II prediction

Dender vs KRC Genk II prediction, who wins and at what price

Dender host KRC Genk II on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Challenger Pro League, and the model has Dender at 69%, the draw at 18% and KRC Genk II at 14%: that is the Dender vs KRC Genk II prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.55 in total, split 2.49 to Dender and 1.06 to KRC Genk II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 61%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is dender to win at 69%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.38. That price implies 72%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, dender or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.06.

With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Dender stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; KRC Genk II show 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 4.

Goals forecast for Dender vs KRC Genk II with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Dender vs KRC Genk II reads 87% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.33 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 61%. Dender score in 92% of simulations against a 8% clean sheet for KRC Genk II; KRC Genk II score in 65% while Dender shut them out 35% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.4%, then 2-0 at 8.9% and 3-1 at 7.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dender, full-time Dender leads at 46%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Dender vs KRC Genk II

The grid built from 2.49 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Dender to win69%1.38
Draw18%4.65
KRC Genk II to win14%6.00
Dender, draw no bet83%fair 1.20
KRC Genk II, draw no bet17%fair 5.92

Double chance

Dender or draw86%1.06
KRC Genk II or draw32%2.62
Dender or KRC Genk II (no draw)82%1.12

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.33
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 2.5 goals32%2.83
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.49
Not both teams to score39%2.42

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17

Team goals

Dender to score92%fair 1.09
KRC Genk II to score65%fair 1.53
Dender clean sheet35%fair 2.89
KRC Genk II clean sheet8%fair 12.05
Dender to win to nil32%fair 3.13
KRC Genk II to win to nil8%fair 13.16

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
2-08.9%
3-17.8%
1-17.6%
3-07.4%
1-07.2%

Half-time / full-time

Dender / Dender46.4%
Draw / Dender18.3%
Draw / Draw9.1%
KRC Genk II / KRC Genk II7.9%
Draw / KRC Genk II5.2%

Questions about Dender vs KRC Genk II

Who will win Dender vs KRC Genk II?

The model gives Dender the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Dender vs KRC Genk II?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Dender vs KRC Genk II both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Dender find the net in 92% of simulated matches and KRC Genk II in 65%.

When is Dender vs KRC Genk II and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Dender v KRC Genk IIDender to win, 69%
1.38Bet