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Live 23 UTC
Austria Bundesliga Round 9 Friday, 16 October 2026 FT
Rapid ViennaHomeWWWWW
3:1Half-time 2:0
TSV HartbergAwayWLWDW
78139
Rapid Vienna winDrawTSV Hartberg win
Kick-off
Fri 16 Oct
Expected goals
3.86
2.94 : 0.92
Favourite
78%
Rapid Vienna
Over 2.5 goals
73%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.246.159.851.302.971.672.08Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Rapid Vienna to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction: Rapid Vienna 1.24 (1xBet), draw 6.15 (1xBet), TSV Hartberg 9.85 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.30 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

78%

Our prediction

Rapid Vienna to win
BankerExpected goals 2.94 : 0.92-3.9% against the best price
Double chanceRapid Vienna or draw
91% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
73% chance1.30
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rapid Vienna, full-time Rapid Vienna
56% chance1.79fair

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction and best bet

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction for the Austria Bundesliga on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model makes Rapid Vienna the clear favourite at 78%, with the draw at 13% and TSV Hartberg at 9%.

The goal expectancy is 3.86 in total, split 2.94 to Rapid Vienna and 0.92 to TSV Hartberg. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 73% and both teams to score 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Rapid Vienna to win is the main selection, rated 78%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg.

For a safer line, rapid Vienna or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.03.

The draw sits at only 13%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Rapid Vienna have won 5 of their last 5 with 15 scored and 2 conceded, TSV Hartberg 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 7.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg reads 90% for over 1.5, 73% for over 2.5 and 54% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 27%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%; 1xBet pay 1.30.

Both teams to score is 56%: Rapid Vienna find the net in 95% of simulated matches and TSV Hartberg in 60%. Rapid Vienna keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and TSV Hartberg 5%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 9.1%, then 3-0 at 8.9% and 2-1 at 8.4%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rapid Vienna, full-time Rapid Vienna leads at 56%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 78% / 13% / 9% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Rapid Vienna to win78%1.24
Draw13%6.15
TSV Hartberg to win9%9.85
Rapid Vienna, draw no bet89%fair 1.12
TSV Hartberg, draw no bet11%fair 9.35

Double chance

Rapid Vienna or draw91%1.03
TSV Hartberg or draw23%3.79
Rapid Vienna or TSV Hartberg (no draw)87%1.10

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals73%1.30
Over 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 9.71
Under 2.5 goals27%2.97
Under 3.5 goals46%fair 2.16

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.67
Not both teams to score44%2.08

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.93
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14

Team goals

Rapid Vienna to score95%fair 1.06
TSV Hartberg to score60%fair 1.66
Rapid Vienna clean sheet40%fair 2.51
TSV Hartberg clean sheet5%fair 18.87
Rapid Vienna to win to nil37%fair 2.72
TSV Hartberg to win to nil5%fair 20.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-09.1%
3-08.9%
2-18.4%
3-18.2%
4-06.6%
1-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

Rapid Vienna / Rapid Vienna55.8%
Draw / Rapid Vienna18.5%
Draw / Draw6.9%
TSV Hartberg / TSV Hartberg4.7%
TSV Hartberg / Rapid Vienna3.7%

Questions about Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

Rapid Vienna or TSV Hartberg: which side does the model back?

The model gives Rapid Vienna the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 13%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 73% backs the same picture with less variance.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Rapid Vienna find the net in 95% of simulated matches and TSV Hartberg in 60%.

When is Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg and where is the result shown?

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg starts at 17:30 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Rapid Vienna v TSV HartbergRapid Vienna to win, 78%
1.24Bet