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Live 33 UTC
AFC Challenge League Group Stage Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Hang YuenHomeDDL
1:2Half-time 1:1
KasukaAwayLLW
8596
Hang Yuen winDrawKasuka win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.84
3.17 : 0.67
Favourite
85%
Hang Yuen
Over 2.5 goals
72%
model chance
Both teams to score
46%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Hang Yuen vs Kasuka

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

85%

Our prediction

Hang Yuen to win
BankerExpected goals 3.17 : 0.67
1.18fair
Double chanceHang Yuen or draw
94% chance1.07fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.86fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hang Yuen, full-time Hang Yuen
63% chance1.58fair

Hang Yuen vs Kasuka prediction

Hang Yuen vs Kasuka prediction, who wins and at what price

Hang Yuen vs Kasuka prediction for the AFC Challenge League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Hang Yuen a strong favourite at 85%, with the draw at 9% and Kasuka at 7%.

Hang Yuen are expected to score 3.17 and Kasuka 0.67, so the total line is 3.84 goals; over 2.5 lands at 72% and BTTS at 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Hang Yuen vs Kasuka is hang Yuen to win, a 85% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

For a safer line, hang Yuen or draw covers 94% of outcomes.

With the draw down at 9%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Hang Yuen have won 0 of their last 3 with 3 scored and 4 conceded, Kasuka 1 of 3 scoring 2 and conceding 8.

Hang Yuen vs Kasuka over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Hang Yuen vs Kasuka reads 89% for over 1.5, 72% for over 2.5 and 53% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 28%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 46%, built from Hang Yuen scoring in 96% of runs and Kasuka in 49%; clean sheets come at 51% for Hang Yuen and 4% for Kasuka.

The most likely scoreline is 3-0 at 11.4%, followed by 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Hang Yuen, full-time Hang Yuen leads at 63%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Hang Yuen vs Kasuka

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 85% / 9% / 7% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Hang Yuen to win85%fair 1.18
Draw9%fair 11.49
Kasuka to win7%fair 15.15
Hang Yuen, draw no bet93%fair 1.08
Kasuka, draw no bet7%fair 13.89

Double chance

Hang Yuen or draw94%fair 1.07
Kasuka or draw15%fair 6.54
Hang Yuen or Kasuka (no draw)91%fair 1.09

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.88
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.96
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 2.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.14

BTTS

Both teams to score46%fair 2.16
Not both teams to score54%fair 1.86

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.94
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14

Team goals

Hang Yuen to score96%fair 1.04
Kasuka to score49%fair 2.05
Hang Yuen clean sheet51%fair 1.95
Kasuka clean sheet4%fair 23.81
Hang Yuen to win to nil47%fair 2.12
Kasuka to win to nil4%fair 25.64

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

3-011.4%
2-010.8%
4-09%
3-17.6%
2-17.2%
1-06.8%

Half-time / full-time

Hang Yuen / Hang Yuen63.4%
Draw / Hang Yuen18.7%
Draw / Draw5.6%
Kasuka / Hang Yuen3%
Kasuka / Kasuka2.5%

Questions about Hang Yuen vs Kasuka

Who is favourite in Hang Yuen vs Kasuka?

The model gives Hang Yuen the best chance at 85%, with the draw at 9%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Hang Yuen vs Kasuka correct score: what does the model say?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 72% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Hang Yuen vs Kasuka?

The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Hang Yuen find the net in 96% of simulated matches and Kasuka in 49%.

When is Hang Yuen vs Kasuka and where is the result shown?

Hang Yuen vs Kasuka starts at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Hang Yuen v KasukaHang Yuen to win, 85%
1.18fair