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Live 16 UTC
AFC Challenge League Group Stage Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
GoaHomeLWLDW
1:2Half-time 1:1
Al QadsiaAwayWWWWL
172261
Goa winDrawAl Qadsia win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.88
0.94 : 1.94
Favourite
61%
Al Qadsia
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Goa vs Al Qadsia betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.823.881.631.781.951.771.94Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al Qadsia to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Goa price at 4.82, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.88 and 1xBet have Al Qadsia longest at 1.63.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.78 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.95 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 1.94 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

61%

Our prediction

Al Qadsia to win
StrongExpected goals 0.94 : 1.94-1.4% against the best price
Double chanceAl Qadsia or draw
83% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Qadsia, full-time Al Qadsia
39% chance2.56fair

Goa vs Al Qadsia prediction

Goa vs Al Qadsia prediction and best bet

The Goa vs Al Qadsia prediction leans to Al Qadsia: 61% against 17% for Goa, with 22% left for the draw, in the AFC Challenge League on Friday, 23 October 2026.

Goa are expected to score 0.94 and Al Qadsia 1.94, so the total line is 2.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Al Qadsia to win is the main selection, rated 61%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.63. That price implies 61%, 1 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, al Qadsia or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.15.

Form check: Goa have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 7 conceded, Al Qadsia 4 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 4.

Goa vs Al Qadsia goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 54%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.78.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Goa scoring in 61% of runs and Al Qadsia in 86%; clean sheets come at 14% for Goa and 39% for Al Qadsia.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 10.9%, followed by 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-1 (10.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Qadsia, full-time Al Qadsia leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Goa vs Al Qadsia

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 17% / 22% / 61% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Goa to win17%4.82
Draw22%3.88
Al Qadsia to win61%1.63
Goa, draw no bet22%fair 4.55
Al Qadsia, draw no bet78%fair 1.28

Double chance

Goa or draw40%2.15
Al Qadsia or draw83%1.15
Goa or Al Qadsia (no draw)78%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.78
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals46%1.95
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.77
Not both teams to score47%1.94

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Goa to score61%fair 1.64
Al Qadsia to score86%fair 1.17
Goa clean sheet14%fair 6.94
Al Qadsia clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Goa to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Al Qadsia to win to nil36%fair 2.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-110.9%
0-210.6%
1-110.2%
1-29.9%
0-36.8%
1-36.4%

Half-time / full-time

Al Qadsia / Al Qadsia39%
Draw / Al Qadsia18.8%
Draw / Draw12.9%
Goa / Goa9.7%
Draw / Goa6.8%

Questions about Goa vs Al Qadsia

Who is favourite in Goa vs Al Qadsia?

The model gives Al Qadsia the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Goa vs Al Qadsia?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.

Goa vs Al Qadsia both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Goa find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Al Qadsia in 86%.

When do Goa play Al Qadsia?

Goa vs Al Qadsia starts at 17:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Goa v Al QadsiaAl Qadsia to win, 61%
1.63Bet