AFC Challenge League
Hang YuenHomeDDL
1:1Half-time 1:1
Manila DiggerAwayWDW101773
Hang Yuen winDrawManila Digger win
Hang YuenHomeDDLManila DiggerAwayWDW- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.25 0.82 : 2.43
- Favourite
- 73% Manila Digger
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.16 | 4.75 | 1.37 | 1.52 | 2.24 | 1.77 | 1.94 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Manila Digger to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger prediction: Hang Yuen 7.16 (1xBet), draw 4.75 (1xBet), Manila Digger 1.37 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.52 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.24 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 1.94 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Manila Digger to win
Double chanceManila Digger or draw
90% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.52
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Manila Digger, full-time Manila Digger
50% chance2.01fair
Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger prediction
Our Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger prediction and pick
Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger prediction for the AFC Challenge League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes Manila Digger the clear favourite at 73%, with the draw at 17% and Hang Yuen at 10%.
Hang Yuen are expected to score 0.82 and Manila Digger 2.43, so the total line is 3.25 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is manila Digger to win at 73%. At 1.37 with 1xBet the market prices it at 73%, against 73% from the model.
For a safer line, manila Digger or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.06.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 3 matches Hang Yuen stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Manila Digger show 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 3.
Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 59%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.52.
Both teams to score is 52%: Hang Yuen find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Manila Digger in 91%. Hang Yuen keep a clean sheet 9% of the time and Manila Digger 44%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger: 0-2 (11.4%), 0-1 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Manila Digger, full-time Manila Digger is the top combination at 50%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.
Every market for Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 10% / 17% / 73% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Hang Yuen to win10%7.16
Draw17%4.75
Manila Digger to win73%1.37
Hang Yuen, draw no bet12%fair 8.13
Manila Digger, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
Double chance
Hang Yuen or draw27%2.86
Manila Digger or draw90%1.06
Hang Yuen or Manila Digger (no draw)83%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.52
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.45
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 2.5 goals38%2.24
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.77
Not both teams to score48%1.94
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.33
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
Hang Yuen to score56%fair 1.79
Manila Digger to score91%fair 1.10
Hang Yuen clean sheet9%fair 11.36
Manila Digger clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Hang Yuen to win to nil8%fair 12.35
Manila Digger to win to nil41%fair 2.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-211.4%
0-19.4%
1-29.4%
0-39.3%
1-17.7%
1-37.6%
Half-time / full-time
Manila Digger / Manila Digger49.8%
Draw / Manila Digger19.8%
Draw / Draw9.5%
Hang Yuen / Hang Yuen5.7%
Draw / Hang Yuen4.2%
Questions about Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger
Who is favourite in Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger?
The model gives Manila Digger the best chance at 73%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger correct score: what does the model say?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Hang Yuen find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Manila Digger in 91%.
What time does Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger kick off?
Hang Yuen vs Manila Digger starts at 12:30 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.