AFC Challenge League
IstiqlolHomeLWL
0:2Half-time 0:0
WathbaAwayWWW482923
Istiqlol winDrawWathba win
IstiqlolHomeLWLWathbaAwayWWW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.26 1.37 : 0.89
- Favourite
- 48% Istiqlol
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Istiqlol vs Wathba odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.48 | 4.20 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.88 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Istiqlol to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Istiqlol vs Wathba are 1.81 for Istiqlol at 1xBet, 3.48 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.20 for Wathba at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.02 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.88 (1xBet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Istiqlol or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.73
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance6.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Istiqlol, full-time Istiqlol
29% chance3.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair
Istiqlol vs Wathba prediction
Istiqlol vs Wathba prediction and best bet
Istiqlol vs Wathba prediction for the AFC Challenge League on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Istiqlol marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 29% and Wathba at 23%.
Expected goals are 1.37 for Istiqlol and 0.89 for Wathba, a total of 2.26, which puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 48%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Istiqlol vs Wathba is istiqlol or draw, a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.19 at 1xBet, which implies 84%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Istiqlol vs Wathba.
Over the last 3 matches Istiqlol stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Wathba show 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 3.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Istiqlol vs Wathba
On the goal lines Istiqlol vs Wathba reads 66% for over 1.5, 38% for over 2.5 and 19% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 62%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.73 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. Istiqlol score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Wathba; Wathba score in 59% while Istiqlol shut them out 41% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Istiqlol vs Wathba: 1-0 (14.3%), 1-1 (12.7%) and 0-0 (10.4%).
With the top scoreline at 14.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Istiqlol vs Wathba; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Istiqlol, full-time Istiqlol is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
Every market for Istiqlol vs Wathba
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 29% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Istiqlol to win48%1.81
Draw29%3.48
Wathba to win23%4.20
Istiqlol, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Wathba, draw no bet33%fair 3.04
Double chance
Istiqlol or draw77%1.19
Wathba or draw53%1.90
Istiqlol or Wathba (no draw)71%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals38%2.02
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals62%1.73
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.88
Not both teams to score52%1.82
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Istiqlol to score75%fair 1.34
Wathba to score59%fair 1.70
Istiqlol clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Wathba clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Istiqlol to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Wathba to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.3%
1-112.7%
0-010.4%
2-09.8%
0-19.3%
2-18.7%
Half-time / full-time
Istiqlol / Istiqlol28.6%
Draw / Draw18.5%
Draw / Istiqlol17.3%
Wathba / Wathba13.4%
Draw / Wathba9.8%
Questions about Istiqlol vs Wathba
Istiqlol or Wathba: which side does the model back?
The model gives Istiqlol the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Istiqlol vs Wathba correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 38% backs the same picture with less variance.
Istiqlol vs Wathba both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Istiqlol find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Wathba in 59%.
When is Istiqlol vs Wathba and where is the result shown?
Istiqlol vs Wathba starts at 14:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.