Primera Nacional
PatronatoHomeWLWLL
0:2Half-time 0:1
AgropecuarioAwayDWLWW562717
Patronato winDrawAgropecuario win
PatronatoHomeWLWLLAgropecuarioAwayDWLWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.14 1.45 : 0.69
- Favourite
- 56% Patronato
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Patronato vs Agropecuario
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.22 | 4.82 | 2.41 | 1.48 | 2.21 | 1.58 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.75 | 3.34 | 5.06 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.78 | 3.13 | 4.45 | 2.44 | 1.47 | 2.19 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.75 | 3.34 | 5.06 | 2.48 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.78 | 3.20 | 4.60 | - | - | 2.22 | 1.54 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Patronato to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best Patronato price at 1.78, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.34 and 22Bet have Agropecuario longest at 5.06.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.48 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (Melbet) and no 1.59 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
56%
Our prediction
Patronato to win
Double chancePatronato or draw
83% chance1.15
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
17% chance5.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Patronato, full-time Patronato
34% chance2.97fair
Patronato vs Agropecuario prediction
Patronato vs Agropecuario prediction, who wins and at what price
Patronato vs Agropecuario prediction for the Primera Nacional on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Patronato a narrow favourite at 56%, with the draw at 27% and Agropecuario at 17%.
The goal expectancy is 2.14 in total, split 1.45 to Patronato and 0.69 to Agropecuario. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 35% and both teams to score 39%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Patronato vs Agropecuario is patronato to win, a 56% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.78 at Betwinner, which implies 56%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, patronato or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.15.
Form check: Patronato have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 4 conceded, Agropecuario 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Patronato vs Agropecuario
Under 2.5 goals is rated 65% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 35%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; Melbet pay 1.50.
The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Patronato scoring in 77% of runs and Agropecuario in 50%; clean sheets come at 50% for Patronato and 24% for Agropecuario.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 17.1%, then 2-0 at 12.4% and 1-1 at 11.8%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Patronato, full-time Patronato is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
All markets, Patronato vs Agropecuario
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 27% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Patronato to win56%1.78
Draw27%3.34
Agropecuario to win17%5.06
Patronato, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Agropecuario, draw no bet24%fair 4.24
Double chance
Patronato or draw83%1.15
Agropecuario or draw44%2.01
Patronato or Agropecuario (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 2.5 goals35%2.48
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.15
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.71
Under 2.5 goals65%1.50
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.28
Not both teams to score61%1.59
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.98
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Patronato to score77%fair 1.31
Agropecuario to score50%fair 2.01
Patronato clean sheet50%fair 1.99
Agropecuario clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Patronato to win to nil46%fair 2.17
Agropecuario to win to nil16%fair 6.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-017.1%
2-012.4%
1-111.8%
0-011.8%
2-18.5%
0-18.1%
Half-time / full-time
Patronato / Patronato33.7%
Draw / Patronato19.8%
Draw / Draw18.9%
Agropecuario / Agropecuario9.4%
Draw / Agropecuario7.6%
Questions about Patronato vs Agropecuario
Patronato or Agropecuario: which side does the model back?
The model gives Patronato the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Patronato vs Agropecuario?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 35% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Patronato vs Agropecuario?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Patronato find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Agropecuario in 50%.
When do Patronato play Agropecuario?
Patronato vs Agropecuario starts at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.