Liga Profesional
Clausura - 14 Friday, 23 October 2026
FT
Gimnasia M.HomeLWLLD
1:2Half-time 1:0
PlatenseAwayDDLWD383230
Gimnasia M. winDrawPlatense win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 14 Friday, 23 October 2026
FT
Gimnasia M.HomeLWLLDPlatenseAwayDDLWD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.13 1.15 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 38% Gimnasia M.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Gimnasia M. vs Platense odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.03 | 3.06 | 2.32 | 1.61 | 1.92 | 1.79 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gimnasia M. to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction: Gimnasia M. 2.52 (1xBet), draw 3.03 (1xBet), Platense 3.06 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.32 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.92 (1xBet) and no 1.79 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Gimnasia M. or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
65% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gimnasia M., full-time Gimnasia M.
23% chance4.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
62% chance1.62fair
Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction
Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction, who wins and at what price
The Gimnasia M. vs Platense prediction leans to Gimnasia M.: 38% against 30% for Platense, with 32% left for the draw, in the Liga Profesional on Friday, 23 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.15 for Gimnasia M. and 0.98 for Platense, a total of 2.13, which puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 46%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is gimnasia M. or draw at 71%. At 1.38 with 1xBet the market prices it at 72%, against 71% from the model.
A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Gimnasia M. average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Platense 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.
A low-scoring Gimnasia M. vs Platense? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Gimnasia M. vs Platense reads 63% for over 1.5, 35% for over 2.5 and 17% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 65%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
Both teams to score is 46%: Gimnasia M. find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Platense in 63%. Gimnasia M. keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Platense 32%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.7%, followed by 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-0 (11.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Gimnasia M., full-time Gimnasia M. is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 62%.
Every market for Gimnasia M. vs Platense
The grid built from 1.15 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Gimnasia M. to win38%2.52
Draw32%3.03
Platense to win30%3.06
Gimnasia M., draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Platense, draw no bet43%fair 2.30
Double chance
Gimnasia M. or draw71%1.38
Platense or draw62%1.52
Gimnasia M. or Platense (no draw)68%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals35%2.32
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals65%1.61
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score46%1.92
Not both teams to score54%1.79
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Gimnasia M. to score68%fair 1.46
Platense to score63%fair 1.60
Gimnasia M. clean sheet38%fair 2.67
Platense clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Gimnasia M. to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Platense to win to nil27%fair 3.69
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-013.7%
1-113.4%
0-011.9%
0-111.6%
2-07.9%
2-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Gimnasia M. / Gimnasia M.22.7%
Draw / Draw20.2%
Platense / Platense17.2%
Draw / Gimnasia M.15.1%
Draw / Platense12.3%
Questions about Gimnasia M. vs Platense
Who is favourite in Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
The model gives Gimnasia M. the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Gimnasia M. vs Platense?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 35% backs the same picture with less variance.
Gimnasia M. vs Platense both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Gimnasia M. find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Platense in 63%.
What time does Gimnasia M. vs Platense kick off?
Kick-off is 21:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.