Liga Profesional
Clausura - 13 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Atletico TucumanHomeLDLWD
2:3Half-time 2:2
Rosario CentralAwayDWWWW273142
Atletico Tucuman winDrawRosario Central win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 13 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Atletico TucumanHomeLDLWDRosario CentralAwayDWWWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.18 0.94 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 42% Rosario Central
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.51 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 2.43 | 1.44 | 2.08 | 1.67 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Rosario Central to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Atletico Tucuman price at 3.51, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.00 and 1xBet have Rosario Central longest at 2.30.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.43 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.44 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.08 (1xBet) and no 1.67 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Rosario Central or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
63% chance1.44
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rosario Central, full-time Rosario Central
25% chance3.97fair
First halfFirst-half goal
63% chance1.60fair
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central prediction
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central prediction and best bet
Rosario Central are marginally ahead in the Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central prediction, rated 42% to win this Liga Profesional match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Atletico Tucuman sit at 27% and the draw at 31%.
The goal expectancy is 2.18 in total, split 0.94 to Atletico Tucuman and 1.24 to Rosario Central. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 37% and both teams to score 44%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central is rosario Central or draw, a 73% chance. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 73% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches Atletico Tucuman stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Rosario Central show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
On the goal lines Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central reads 64% for over 1.5, 37% for over 2.5 and 18% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 63%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.44.
The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Atletico Tucuman scoring in 61% of runs and Rosario Central in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Atletico Tucuman and 39% for Rosario Central.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14%, followed by 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (11.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Rosario Central, full-time Rosario Central leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 63%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
The grid built from 0.94 and 1.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win27%3.51
Draw31%3.00
Rosario Central to win42%2.30
Atletico Tucuman, draw no bet39%fair 2.57
Rosario Central, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Double chance
Atletico Tucuman or draw58%1.62
Rosario Central or draw73%1.30
Atletico Tucuman or Rosario Central (no draw)69%1.39
Goals
Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Over 2.5 goals37%2.43
Over 3.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.29
Under 1.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Under 2.5 goals63%1.44
Under 3.5 goals82%fair 1.22
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.08
Not both teams to score56%1.67
Halves
First-half goal63%fair 1.60
Over 1.5 first-half goals26%fair 3.89
Second-half goal70%fair 1.43
Team goals
Atletico Tucuman to score61%fair 1.64
Rosario Central to score71%fair 1.41
Atletico Tucuman clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Rosario Central clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Atletico Tucuman to win to nil25%fair 4.05
Rosario Central to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-114%
1-113.2%
0-011.3%
1-010.6%
0-28.7%
1-28.2%
Half-time / full-time
Rosario Central / Rosario Central25.2%
Draw / Draw19.6%
Draw / Rosario Central16.1%
Atletico Tucuman / Atletico Tucuman15.5%
Draw / Atletico Tucuman11.2%
Questions about Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman or Rosario Central: which side does the model back?
The model gives Rosario Central the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 37%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Atletico Tucuman find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Rosario Central in 71%.
What time does Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central kick off?
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central starts at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.