Liga Profesional
Clausura - 14 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
San LorenzoHomeLWWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Newells Old BoysAwayDLWDD383527
San Lorenzo winDrawNewells Old Boys win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 14 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
San LorenzoHomeLWWDDNewells Old BoysAwayDLWDD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.99 1.09 : 0.90
- Favourite
- 38% San Lorenzo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 32% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.56 | 2.78 | 3.30 | 2.73 | 1.40 | 2.18 | 1.61 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
San Lorenzo to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction: San Lorenzo 2.56 (1xBet), draw 2.78 (1xBet), Newells Old Boys 3.30 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.73 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.40 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.18 (1xBet) and no 1.61 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
San Lorenzo or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
68% chance1.40
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
59% chance1.69fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time San Lorenzo, full-time San Lorenzo
23% chance4.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.69fair
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction, who wins and at what price
San Lorenzo are marginally ahead in the San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction, rated 38% to win this Liga Profesional match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Newells Old Boys sit at 28% and the draw at 35%.
Expected goals are 1.09 for San Lorenzo and 0.90 for Newells Old Boys, a total of 1.99, which puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 41%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is san Lorenzo or draw at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches San Lorenzo stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Newells Old Boys show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys reads 59% for over 1.5, 32% for over 2.5 and 14% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 68%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.40 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 41%. San Lorenzo score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Newells Old Boys; Newells Old Boys score in 59% while San Lorenzo shut them out 41% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 14.9%, then 0-0 at 13.7% and 1-1 at 13.4%.
With the top scoreline at 14.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time San Lorenzo, full-time San Lorenzo leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 35% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
San Lorenzo to win38%2.56
Draw35%2.78
Newells Old Boys to win28%3.30
San Lorenzo, draw no bet58%fair 1.73
Newells Old Boys, draw no bet42%fair 2.36
Double chance
San Lorenzo or draw72%1.33
Newells Old Boys or draw62%1.51
San Lorenzo or Newells Old Boys (no draw)66%1.44
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals59%fair 1.69
Over 2.5 goals32%2.73
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 7.09
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 19.23
Under 1.5 goals41%fair 2.44
Under 2.5 goals68%1.40
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.16
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.18
Not both teams to score59%1.61
Halves
First-half goal59%fair 1.69
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.42
Second-half goal67%fair 1.50
Team goals
San Lorenzo to score66%fair 1.51
Newells Old Boys to score59%fair 1.69
San Lorenzo clean sheet41%fair 2.46
Newells Old Boys clean sheet34%fair 2.98
San Lorenzo to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Newells Old Boys to win to nil26%fair 3.92
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-014.9%
0-013.7%
1-113.4%
0-112.3%
2-08.1%
2-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
San Lorenzo / San Lorenzo22.6%
Draw / Draw21.8%
Newells Old Boys / Newells Old Boys16.3%
Draw / San Lorenzo15.5%
Draw / Newells Old Boys12.1%
Questions about San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo or Newells Old Boys: which side does the model back?
The model gives San Lorenzo the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 32%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. San Lorenzo find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Newells Old Boys in 59%.
When do San Lorenzo play Newells Old Boys?
Kick-off is 22:15 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.