Tunisia Ligue 1
Stade TunisienHomeWLW
1:0Half-time 1:0
ES ZarzisAwayLWLDL543016
Stade Tunisien winDrawES Zarzis win
Stade TunisienHomeWLWES ZarzisAwayLWLDL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.92 1.31 : 0.61
- Favourite
- 54% Stade Tunisien
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 35% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.72 | 2.94 | 5.32 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.63 | 1.41 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.63 | 3.25 | 5.60 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.44 | 1.45 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.63 | 3.15 | 5.62 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.39 | 1.49 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.63 | 3.15 | 5.62 | 2.65 | 1.45 | 2.39 | 1.49 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Stade Tunisien to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis are 1.72 for Stade Tunisien at 1xBet, 3.25 for the draw at BC.Game and 5.62 for ES Zarzis at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.48 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.63 (1xBet) and no 1.49 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
54%
Our prediction
Stade Tunisien to win
Double chanceStade Tunisien or draw
84% chance1.09
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
71% chance1.48
BTTSNot both teams to score
65% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.75fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
19% chance5.21fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stade Tunisien, full-time Stade Tunisien
32% chance3.13fair
Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis prediction
Our Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis prediction and pick
Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis prediction for the Tunisia Ligue 1 on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Stade Tunisien a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 30% and ES Zarzis at 16%.
Expected goals are 1.31 for Stade Tunisien and 0.61 for ES Zarzis, a total of 1.92, which puts over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams to score at 35%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is stade Tunisien to win at 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.72 at 1xBet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis.
Stade Tunisien or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.09.
Over the last 3 matches Stade Tunisien stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; ES Zarzis show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 29%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 71% and under 3.5 is 87%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; BC.Game pay 1.48.
Both teams to score is 35%: Stade Tunisien find the net in 73% of simulated matches and ES Zarzis in 46%. Stade Tunisien keep a clean sheet 54% of the time and ES Zarzis 27%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 19.2%, then 0-0 at 14.7% and 2-0 at 12.6%.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Stade Tunisien, full-time Stade Tunisien is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.
Every market for Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 54% / 30% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win54%1.72
Draw30%3.25
ES Zarzis to win16%5.62
Stade Tunisien, draw no bet77%fair 1.30
ES Zarzis, draw no bet23%fair 4.29
Double chance
Stade Tunisien or draw84%1.09
ES Zarzis or draw46%2.06
Stade Tunisien or ES Zarzis (no draw)70%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.75
Over 2.5 goals29%2.97
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.75
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.74
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.34
Under 2.5 goals71%1.48
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score35%2.63
Not both teams to score65%1.49
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.73
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.67
Second-half goal65%fair 1.53
Team goals
Stade Tunisien to score73%fair 1.37
ES Zarzis to score46%fair 2.19
Stade Tunisien clean sheet54%fair 1.84
ES Zarzis clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Stade Tunisien to win to nil50%fair 2.02
ES Zarzis to win to nil15%fair 6.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-019.2%
0-014.7%
2-012.6%
1-111.7%
0-18.9%
2-17.7%
Half-time / full-time
Stade Tunisien / Stade Tunisien32%
Draw / Draw21.5%
Draw / Stade Tunisien20.1%
ES Zarzis / ES Zarzis9%
Draw / ES Zarzis7.6%
Questions about Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis
Who is favourite in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
The model gives Stade Tunisien the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 30%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 19.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 29% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Stade Tunisien find the net in 73% of simulated matches and ES Zarzis in 46%.
What time does Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis kick off?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.