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CAF Champions League 2nd Preliminary Round Saturday, 24 October 2026 Pens
ES TunisHomeWLWD
1:0Half-time 1:0Penalties 3:1
AsswehlyAwayWL
82126
ES Tunis winDrawAsswehly win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.12
2.60 : 0.52
Favourite
82%
ES Tunis
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
38%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

ES Tunis vs Asswehly odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.136.2513.001.552.242.311.52Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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ES Tunis to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for ES Tunis vs Asswehly are 1.13 for ES Tunis at 1xBet, 6.25 for the draw at 1xBet and 13.00 for Asswehly at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.24 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.31 (1xBet) and no 1.52 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

82%

Our prediction

ES Tunis to win
BankerExpected goals 2.60 : 0.52-7.3% against the best price
Double chanceES Tunis or draw
94% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.55
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
15% chance6.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ES Tunis, full-time ES Tunis
58% chance1.72fair

ES Tunis v Asswehly head to head

0ES Tunis wins
0Draws
1Asswehly wins
  • 18 Oct 26Asswehly1:0ES Tunis

1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: ES Tunis scored 0, Asswehly scored 1.

ES Tunis vs Asswehly prediction

ES Tunis vs Asswehly prediction and best bet

ES Tunis host Asswehly on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the CAF Champions League, and the model has ES Tunis at 82%, the draw at 12% and Asswehly at 6%: that is the ES Tunis vs Asswehly prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.60 for ES Tunis and 0.52 for Asswehly, a total of 3.12, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 38%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is eS Tunis to win at 82%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.13. That price implies 88%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

ES Tunis or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced -.

With the draw down at 12%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

How many goals in ES Tunis vs Asswehly? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines ES Tunis vs Asswehly reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.55 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 38%: ES Tunis find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Asswehly in 41%. ES Tunis keep a clean sheet 60% of the time and Asswehly 7%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14.9%, followed by 3-0 (12.9%) and 1-0 (11.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time ES Tunis, full-time ES Tunis is the top combination at 58%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, ES Tunis vs Asswehly

The grid built from 2.60 and 0.52 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

ES Tunis to win82%1.13
Draw12%6.25
Asswehly to win6%13.00
ES Tunis, draw no bet93%fair 1.08
Asswehly, draw no bet7%fair 14.29

Double chance

ES Tunis or draw94%-
Asswehly or draw18%4.22
ES Tunis or Asswehly (no draw)88%1.04

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.55
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.64
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals41%2.24
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61

BTTS

Both teams to score38%2.31
Not both teams to score62%1.52

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

ES Tunis to score93%fair 1.08
Asswehly to score41%fair 2.47
ES Tunis clean sheet60%fair 1.68
Asswehly clean sheet7%fair 13.51
ES Tunis to win to nil55%fair 1.83
Asswehly to win to nil6%fair 17.54

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-014.9%
3-012.9%
1-011.5%
4-08.4%
2-17.8%
3-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

ES Tunis / ES Tunis58.3%
Draw / ES Tunis21.2%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Asswehly / Asswehly2.7%
Asswehly / ES Tunis2.4%

Questions about ES Tunis vs Asswehly

Who will win ES Tunis vs Asswehly?

The model gives ES Tunis the best chance at 82%, with the draw at 12%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for ES Tunis vs Asswehly?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in ES Tunis vs Asswehly?

The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. ES Tunis find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Asswehly in 41%.

When do ES Tunis play Asswehly?

ES Tunis vs Asswehly starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, ES Tunis v AsswehlyES Tunis to win, 82%
1.13Bet