Wales Premier League
The New SaintsHomeWWWWD
9:0Half-time 3:0
Ammanford AFCAwayLWWLL9721
The New Saints winDrawAmmanford AFC win
The New SaintsHomeWWWWDAmmanford AFCAwayLWWLL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.71 4.33 : 0.38
- Favourite
- 97% The New Saints
- Over 2.5 goals
- 89% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 22% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.02 | 23.00 | 70.00 | 1.02 | 9.00 | 4.00 | 1.20 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The New Saints to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC are 1.02 for The New Saints at 1xBet, 23.00 for the draw at 1xBet and 70.00 for Ammanford AFC at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.02 (1xBet) and under 2.5 9.00 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 4.00 (1xBet) and no 1.20 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
97%
Our prediction
The New Saints to win
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
89% chance1.02
BTTSNot both teams to score
78% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
94% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 4-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time The New Saints, full-time The New Saints
79% chance1.26fair
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC prediction
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC prediction, who wins and at what price
The New Saints are a strong favourite in the The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC prediction, rated 97% to win this Wales Premier League match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Ammanford AFC sit at 1% and the draw at 2%.
The New Saints are expected to score 4.33 and Ammanford AFC 0.38, so the total line is 4.71 goals; over 2.5 lands at 89% and BTTS at 22%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is the New Saints to win at 97%. At 1.02 with 1xBet the market prices it at 98%, against 97% from the model.
The New Saints or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 99% chance, priced -.
With the draw down at 2%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
The New Saints average 5.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, Ammanford AFC 0.6 and 2.8 across 5.
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC reads 94% for over 1.5, 89% for over 2.5 and 68% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 11%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 89%, best priced 1.02 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 22%, built from The New Saints scoring in 99% of runs and Ammanford AFC in 32%; clean sheets come at 68% for The New Saints and 1% for Ammanford AFC.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 78%.
Correct score: 4-0 leads at 13.2%, then 3-0 at 12.2% and 5-0 at 11.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time The New Saints, full-time The New Saints is the top combination at 79%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 88%.
All markets, The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 97% / 2% / 1% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
The New Saints to win97%1.02
Draw2%23.00
Ammanford AFC to win1%70.00
The New Saints, draw no bet99%fair 1.01
Ammanford AFC, draw no bet1%fair 166.67
Double chance
The New Saints or draw99%-
Ammanford AFC or draw3%17.31
The New Saints or Ammanford AFC (no draw)98%1.01
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals89%1.02
Over 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 4.5 goals49%fair 2.02
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 2.5 goals11%9.00
Under 3.5 goals32%fair 3.11
BTTS
Both teams to score22%4.00
Not both teams to score78%1.20
Halves
First-half goal88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 first-half goals63%fair 1.60
Second-half goal93%fair 1.08
Team goals
The New Saints to score99%fair 1.01
Ammanford AFC to score32%fair 3.16
The New Saints clean sheet68%fair 1.46
Ammanford AFC clean sheet1%fair 76.92
The New Saints to win to nil63%fair 1.59
Ammanford AFC to win to nil1%fair 166.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
4-013.2%
3-012.2%
5-011.4%
2-08.4%
4-15%
3-14.6%
Half-time / full-time
The New Saints / The New Saints79.1%
Draw / The New Saints13.9%
Draw / Draw1.9%
Ammanford AFC / The New Saints1.6%
Ammanford AFC / Draw0.6%
Questions about The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC
The New Saints or Ammanford AFC: which side does the model back?
The model gives The New Saints the best chance at 97%, with the draw at 2%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
4-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 89%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 22%. The New Saints find the net in 99% of simulated matches and Ammanford AFC in 32%.
When is The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC and where is the result shown?
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC starts at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.